Will it rain be­fore Christ­mas?

Finweek English Edition - - IN DEPTH | AGRICULTURE -

South Africa is still in the grip of a very strong El Niño phase, al­though there are in­di­ca­tions that El Niño will reach ma­tu­rity rel­a­tively early, be­fore De­cem­ber. This can as­sist in im­prov­ing the con­di­tions for the sec­ond part of the sea­son. In the short term, con­di­tions that are more con­ducive to rain­fall should oc­cur in the sec­ond part of Novem­ber in most of the sum­mer crop area . “In the longer term, most strong El Niños of the past were fol­lowed by a rel­a­tively strong La Niña phase and re­sulted in wet con­di­tions. If this is also true for the cur­rent sit­u­a­tion, 2016/17 may [ex­pe­ri­ence] favourable rain­fall con­di­tions,” says Jo­han van den Berg, San­tam Agriculture man­ager: spe­cialised crop in­sur­ance.

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