The Citizen (Gauteng)

Is it a burden or a lifeline?

MINIMUM WAGE: IT HAS GREATER POSITIVES

- Mamokgethi Molopyane

Those supporting it must be careful not to be seduced into thinking it will solve poverty, economic growth.

It’s clear from the recent refocus on a national minimum wage that the cases for and against it are far from settled. At the end of May, parliament passed the National Minimum

New debates on the subject arose, with economists cautioning that raising wages will in the long run lead to job losses. They remind us of a basic principle of economics; that the demand for labour falls when wages rise. They, together with other minimum wage opponents, assert that any rise in wages, any implementa­tion of basic wage increases across sectors on a national scale, carries a far greater risk to the economy than anything else.

But is the risk greater than that posed by unemployed youth who are frustrated and have nothing to lose? Can it really be a greater risk than rising inequality and pervasive poverty? I think not.

South Africa must guard against those wishing to influence the slicing of the economic pie when they are more concerned about keeping a bigger piece for themselves than whether everyone is getting a slice.

Even against growing evidence that a national minimum wage does not cost jobs, many continue to fall back on this argument. The realities of our country’s labour market are at best complex and dynamic and must never be reduced to linear or single-issue level, lest our attempts to solve them become trapped by such parameters.

At the same time, those supporting the national minimum wage must be careful not to be seduced into thinking it will solve poverty and lead to miraculous economic growth. This is where our political leadership and those advising it on labour related policy must be alert; when your country has fewer prime people in the labour force and you have no way of ensuring they get in, a minimum wage is not necessaril­y going to solve that particular problem.

It is important to bear in mind how even the smallest upswing in wages, coupled to a clear state policy on unemployme­nt, can translate into significan­t gains in buying power for those confined to a low income. If this is sustained for a couple of years, there’s a likelihood of it positively affecting the economy – provided that the economy creates jobs.

Those who may not care about national matters should remember that, in an economy burdened by a shrinking labour force participat­ion and low wages that are unable to meet the basic needs, there is reason to worry. The minimum wage may just reduce the number of the “working poor” who account for a substantia­l number of those who are living in poverty.

Wages enable people to pay for their basic services as well as their shopping. Wages may be a cost to business, but they are an initiator of demand.

The distributi­on of income has always had an antagonist­ic effect on broader societal inequaliti­es. On the one hand, those who earn the lowest are automatica­lly condemned to a life of borrowing and accumulate­d debt that is generation­al and on the other, households of higher income are more likely to consider precaution­ary savings in preparatio­n for tougher times.

I say that, while increasing the wage share through a minimum wage and simultaneo­usly having policies that stimulate demand won’t solve the unemployme­nt and economic growth problem, it’s a start.

Mamokgethi Molopyane is a mining and labour analyst. She’s also the founder of Creative Voodoo Consulting.

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