South African meat im­ports for De­cem­ber 2016

For De­cem­ber 2016

The Poultry Bulletin - - CONTENTS -

Please Note: This re­port is based solely on SARS ver­i­fied statis­tics. An­nual fig­ures have been cor­rected as and when SARS is­sues amended re­ports.

DIS­CLAIMER: The views ex­pressed in SAPA STATS re­ports re­flect those of SAPA in col­lab­o­ra­tion with its in­de­pen­dent con­sul­tants and do not con­sti­tute any spe­cific ad­vice as to de­ci­sions or ac­tions that should be taken. While ev­ery care has been taken in pre­par­ing doc­u­ments no rep­re­sen­ta­tion nor war­ranty or any ex­pressed or im­plied un­der­tak­ing is given and no re­spon­si­bil­ity or li­a­bil­ity is ac­cepted by SAPA as to the ac­cu­racy or com­plete­ness of the in­for­ma­tion con­tained herein whether as elec­tronic data or as a fin­ished re­port. SAPA or its in­de­pen­dent con­sul­tants do not ac­cept re­spon­si­bil­ity or li­a­bil­ity for any dam­ages of what­so­ever na­ture which any per­son may suf­fer as a re­sult of any decision or ac­tion taken on the ba­sis of the in­for­ma­tion con­tained herein. All opin­ions and es­ti­mates con­tained in the re­ports may be changed af­ter pub­li­ca­tion with­out no­tice.

All fore­casts of fu­ture pro­duc­tion, prices, trade or feed and feed in­gre­di­ent trends are based on the opin­ion of in­de­pen­dent con­sul­tants con­tracted to SAPA. These fore­casts are for guide­line pur­poses only and SAPA does not, in any way, war­rant that these pre­dic­tions will be re­alised. SAPA there­fore cau­tions any user of this in­for­ma­tion to treat it in an ap­pro­pri­ate man­ner.

1. An­nual Poul­try Im­ports

Where the term ‘poul­try’ is used, this refers to chicken, turkey, ducks, geese and guinea fowl.

The SA Rev­enue Ser­vice re­ports that to­tal poul­try im­ports for 2016 amounted to 560 155 t; an in­crease of 81 708 t, or 17.1%, in com­par­i­son with 2015 (478 447 t) (Graph 1). If it had not been for the ef­fect of Ai-re­lated trade bans on De­cem­ber im­ports, 2016 im­ports would have been 20% higher than last year.

On an FOB ba­sis, the value of im­ports for 2016 amounted to R5.48 bil­lion. The FOB value of poul­try im­ports in­creased by R0.804 bil­lion (17.2%) over the 2015 value (4.68 bil­lion).

In 2016, chicken im­ports con­trib­uted 94.4% to to­tal poul­try im­ports, turkey im­ports 5.6% and ducks, geese or guinea fowl to­talled 0.03%. To­tal an­nual im­ports per poul­try type (kg) from 2011 to 2016 are given in Ta­ble 1.

2. Monthly Poul­try Im­ports

Monthly poul­try im­ports in vol­ume and value terms

In De­cem­ber 2016, poul­try im­ports de­creased dra­mat­i­cally by 32.2% on a monthly ba­sis to 34 533 t; this is 16 423 t less than the pre­vi­ous month. Poul­try im­ports were val­ued at R313.7 mil­lion (FOB); down R238.7 m on Novem­ber 2016 levels (- 43.2%). Com­pared to the same month in the pre­vi­ous year, im­ports de­creased by 20.8%, or 9 075 t,

and in, value terms, de­creased by 20.7% or R82.1 m.

Dur­ing De­cem­ber 2016, poul­try im­ports con­sisted of 90.6% chicken meat and prod­uct, 9.4% turkey meat and prod­uct; and only 0.002% ducks, geese and guinea fowl. The FOB value of R313.7 m for poul­try im­ports for De­cem­ber 2016 com­prises chicken im­ports at R271.9 m (86.7%), turkey im­ports at R 41.7 m (13.3%) and im­ports of other types of poul­try at R 69 567 (0.022 %).

3. Broiler im­ports 3.1. An­nual broiler im­ports

Ac­cord­ing to the au­dited fig­ures of SARS, the an­nual broiler im­ports for 2016 to­taled 528 506 tonnes. This is 71 132 t more than in 2015 (15.6%; on 457 374 t). Ta­ble 2 shows the split be­tween fresh and frozen chicken, and the amount of me­chan­i­cally deboned meat (MDM) within the frozen im­ports.

3.2. Monthly broiler im­ports

Broiler im­ports for De­cem­ber 2016 to­taled 31 301 t, a de­crease of 34.3% on a monthly ba­sis (- 16 312 t) and a de­crease of 11 141 t or 26.3% when com­pared to the same month in the pre­vi­ous year. To­tal broiler im­ports, on a monthly ba­sis from Jan­uary 2013, are shown in Graph 2.

3.3. Ac­cu­mu­lated broiler im­ports in terms of vol­ume

Ac­cu­mu­lated broiler im­ports at the end of 2015 were 88 569 t or 24% higher than in De­cem­ber 2014. Ac­cu­mu­lated broiler im­ports at the end of

2016, in turn, are 71 132 t or 15.6% higher than in De­cem­ber 2015. Ac­cu­mu­lated broiler im­ports for 2016 are shown in Graph 3, along with ac­cu­mu­lated im­port vol­umes for the past 3 years.

The dis­tri­bu­tion of broiler im­ports in terms of the main prod­ucts im­ported, ex­pressed as a per­cent­age of to­tal chicken im­ports, is shown in Ta­ble 3.

3.4. Ac­cu­mu­lated broiler im­ports in terms of FOB value

Dur­ing De­cem­ber 2016, broiler im­ports to an FOB value of R271.9 m en­tered the coun­try. This is a 46.3% de­crease on Novem­ber 2016 levels (- R234.2 m) and a 28.1% de­crease over levels recorded in the same month a year ago (- R105.7 m). The ac­cu­mu­lated value of im­ports of broiler prod­ucts dur­ing 2016 was R5.02 bil­lion; a 16.8% in­crease over 2015 broiler im­ports (R4.3 bil­lion).

3.5. Im­ports un­der different tar­iffs

3.5.1.Im­ports of frozen me­chan­i­cally de-boned meat (MDM)

In De­cem­ber 2016, a to­tal of 13 506 t were im­ported at an FOB of R64.4 m (Graph 4), an in­crease of 589 t, or 4.6%, on a monthly ba­sis but a de­crease of 2 881 t, or 17.6%, on a yearly ba­sis (com­pared to De­cem­ber 2015).

Dur­ing 2015, a to­tal of 179 891 t were im­ported at an

FOB of R722.9 m. In 2016, ac­cu­mu­lated im­ports of MDM are 8.5% (+ 15 363 t) higher than 2015 (FOB R825 mil­lion).

3.5.2. Im­ports of car­casses (ex­clud­ing necks and of­fal) with all cuts re­moved

Dur­ing De­cem­ber 2016, a to­tal of 1 607 t of car­casses was im­ported at an FOB of R6.9 m. This is 1 254 t (43.8%) less than in Novem­ber and, on a yearly ba­sis, is down by 18 t (-1.1%).

Dur­ing 2015, a to­tal of 22 440 t of chicken car­casses were im­ported at an FOB of 113.6 m. In 2016, ac­cu­mu­lated im­ports of frozen chicken car­casses (21 416 t) are 4.6% (- 1 024 t) lower than in 2015 (FOB value for 2016: R91.5 mil­lion).

3.5.3. Im­ports of whole frozen chick­ens

In De­cem­ber 2016, a to­tal of 961 t of whole frozen chick­ens were im­ported at an FOB value of R11.3 m. This is 5 t, or 0.6 %, less than the pre­vi­ous month, but 47 % up on the levels im­ported dur­ing De­cem­ber 2015 (+ 307 t).

Dur­ing 2015, a to­tal of 4 321 t were im­ported un­der this code, at an FOB value of R68.1 m. For 2016, ac­cu­mu­lated im­ports of frozen whole broil­ers (9 597 t) are 122% (+ 5 276 t) higher than in 2015 (FOB value for 2016: R114.3 mil­lion).

3.5.4. Im­ports of frozen bone­less cuts

Im­ports of frozen bone­less cuts to­taled 1 194 t in De­cem­ber 2016, at an FOB value of R29 m; an in­crease of 17.8% (+ 181 t) on a monthly vol­ume ba­sis and an in­crease of 30.7% (+ 281 t) com­pared to De­cem­ber 2015 tonnes.

A to­tal of 15 811 t of frozen bone­less cuts were im­ported in 2015, at an FOB value of R384.6 m. In 2016, ac­cu­mu­lated im­ports of frozen chicken bone­less por­tions (12 506 t) are 20.9% (- 3 305 t) lower than in 2015 and have an FOB value of R283.1 mil­lion.

3.5.5. Im­ports of frozen bonein por­tions (in­clud­ing legquar­ters)

Im­ports of frozen chicken bone-in por­tions de­creased by 14 163 t, or 55%, in De­cem­ber 2016 in com­par­i­son with the pre­vi­ous month, to to­tal 11 574 t at an FOB of R143 m (Graph 5). De­cem­ber’s im­ports de­creased by 39.0%, or 7 385 t, on a yearly ba­sis.

Of the 239 589 tonnes of bone-in por­tions im­ported in 2016, 64.5% were leg quar­ters; 15.3% wings; 13.3% drum­sticks; 3.7% thighs; and 3.1% other bone-in cuts. Only 39 t of “whole chick­ens, cut in half” and 91 t of bone-in breasts have been im­ported since Jan­uary 2016.

Ac­cu­mu­lated ton­nages of im­ported frozen, bonein por­tions over the past 4 years are shown in Graph 6. From May 2015 on­wards, ac­cu­mu­lated tonnes of im­ported frozen bone-in por­tions have ex­ceeded levels ac­cu­mu­lated in the pre­ced­ing three years (2012 – 2014; 2012 not shown). The to­tal im­ports of bone-in por­tions for 2015 were 192 390 t at an FOB value of R2.72 bil­lion. This was a 22.4% in­crease over 2014 ton­nages (157 118 t) even with the tem­po­rary im­port bans in place against the US, the Nether­lands, the UK and Ger­many, in re­sponse to out­breaks of avian in­fluenza. In 2016, ac­cu­mu­lated im­ports of frozen chicken bone-in por­tions (239 589 t) are 24.5% (+ 47 199 t) higher than in 2015 and have an FOB value of R3.363 bil­lion.¡ The full re­port may be down­loaded from the SAPA web­site (www.sapoul­try.co.za)

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