Azarenka can defy back from a rest theory
AZARENKA is evens favourite to defy the second-run-after-a-rest syndrome in the Ahmen and Hamman Attorneys Novice Plate at Kenilworth tomorrow and Richard Fourie's mount carries a bit of stable confidence.
Those punters who nearly had a heart attack when the same yard’s Dynamic ran six lengths below form in similar circumstances a fortnight ago will tread understandably warily even though the filly comes out marginally best on ratings.
“She had an operation to remove a chip in a joint,’’ says Jonathan Snaith, explaining why she was absent from Met day until going close on her return a month ago, and adds: “She is doing particularly well.’’
Stable companion Sapphire Gem, the mount of Sean Cormack, is 3-1 second favourite with Betting World although she is a 3kg worse horse according to the handicappers.
“We don’t really know where we are with her - whether she is a 1 000m horse - and Azarenka is marginally preferred,’’ says Jonathan.
On adjusted ratings 9-2 chance Perpetua comes out only just behind Azarenka and she is taking a significant drop in both class and distance.
“Last time the jockey (MJ Byleveld) said she ran well to a point and then didn’t see out the ground," says Greg Ennion. “She is doing well and she will be more competitive here although I would rather it was 1 200m.’’
Byleveld is now on 5-1 chance Night Of Stars who beat Double Whammy in a maiden in May and has started favourite in her last three races.
She can be forgiven last time's flop because she broke through the gate and came back bleeding from the mouth. Aromatics has a bit to find on ratings and fellow 12-1 shot Mistico Lady is 7.5kg wrong with the favourite.
St Tropez was easy to back when Anton Marcus rode him on debut, drifting from 4-1 to twice that price, and he was returned not striding out.
He opened 5-2 favourite for the concluding IPA Westcoast Maiden and he should win.
“He had sore shins but he is now 100%,’’ says Joey Ramsden.
Panga Panga, 6-1 for the opening International Police Association Maiden, ran prominently throughout last time and makes sound each way appeal. Hot favourite at 18-10 is Captain Blackwater who drops back from 1 400m to 1 200m. “We fancied him that day and he didn't run up to his best,’’ explains Jonathan Snaith.
The champion trainer stable could have a good day and Smashville should be hard to beat in the next.
Fourie's mount shares 3-1 favouritism with Aliysa's Prize who over-raced early when a close-up fourth on her most recent start.
Western Movie could be each way value at 10-1 in race four after going up only three points for last time's Durbanville win.
“Aldo Domeyer was happy with him when he rode him work on Saturday and he's got a big chance,’’ says Carl Burger who is in Melbourne visiting a sick uncle and looking at horses.