Class ver­sus stamina

The Star Early Edition - - RACING - DAVID THISELTON

THE Gr 1 In­vestec Cape Derby over 2 000m at Ke­nil­worth on Satur­day could have class ver­sus stamina as its chief pro­tag­o­nists. Ta­ble Bay, an Aus­tralian-bred by Red­oute’s Choice, is merit rated seven points higher than any other run­ner on 107. He has a ton of class, a beau­ti­ful ac­tion and a fine turn of foot.

He does have a speedy pedi­gree, but mil­ers are able to win this race if they have the class, with Capetown Noir be­ing a good ex­am­ple.

How­ever, they would usu­ally be rid­den cold to do so and this is an un­likely sce­nario with this horse as his good gate speed and big ac­tion has con­sis­tently taken him to the front over shorter.

But from a draw of two there is per­haps a chance Ta­ble Bay could end up sit­ting be­hind the front-run­ning sort Win­ter Is Com­ing, who is drawn wide.

Jockey An­ton Mar­cus will have to be at his bril­liant best to keep enough in re­serve for this highly re­garded horse.

Edict Of Nantes stayed on from well back in the Grand Pa­rade Cape Guineas to be beaten 0,6 lengths by pace set­ter Ta­ble Bay.

He beat Ta­ble Bay when run­ning on strongly from near last in the Se­lan­gor Cup, also over 1 600m.

There is speed in his fe­male line and his sire Count Dubois was a miler, but the lat­ter has pro­duced an SA Oaks win­ner and a Daily News 2000 win­ner in French Navy.

Edict Of Nantes

On run­ning style Edict Of Nantes looks likely to stay the trip on this course and should be in­volved in the fin­ish.

El­e­vated is out of sprinter by Space­ship but is by SA Derby win­ner Elu­sive Fort and on his Cape Guineas run, when widely drawn and stay­ing on well from quite a handy po­si­tion he should en­joy this trip. He should be right there from a good draw. Hori­zon im­pressed in the Gr 3 Politi­cian Stakes over 1800m when re­lax­ing well in the run­ning, quick­en­ing well and stay­ing on to the line.

He is likely im­prov­ing be­ing a Candice Bass-Robin­son­trained son of Dy­nasty.

He is out of a sis­ter to Sil­vano, so should rel­ish the trip and is drawn in pole.

Aus­tralian-bred Zo­diac Ruler was caught wide in the Gr 1 Grand Pa­rade Cape Guineas, so not sur­pris­ingly faded. He had ear­lier plugged on in the Lanz­erac Ready To Run over 1 400m to fin­ish mid­field.

Zo­diac Ruler was an im­pres­sive win­ner of the Gr 2 Golden Horse­shoe at Greyville over 1 400m and also quick­ened well when sec­ond in the Gr 1 Premier’s Cham­pion Stakes over 1 600m.

His sire Zof­fany has sired a Prix d’le Arc de Tri­om­phe win­ner, Rail Link, but his damline is speedy and his dam is in fact a half-sis­ter to the cham­pion sprinter Lais­ser­faire. There must be a slight stamina doubt for this good look­ing, ro­bust sort.

Aus­tralian-bred New­lands looked a touch un­lucky last time out over 1 800m in the GR 3 Cartier Politi­cian Stakes as he took a while to find a split and by the time he had done so Hori­zon had pinched a few lengths. He closed in late to be beaten at level weights by 1,25 lengths.

New­lands is by Epsom Derby win­ner High Chap­pa­ral and his dam, who won over 1 600m, is a half-sis­ter to a Cham­pion Two-year-old colt in Aus­tralia, Van­cou­ver, who won the Gr 1 Golden Slip­per.

There­fore his pedi­gree looks to be ideal for this course and dis­tance.

A draw of six should be favourable for a slow starter who is likely to be held up.

KZN raider Win­ter Is Com­ing kept on find­ing ex­tra in a Progress Plate over 1 400m on the Greyville poly last time to re­pel the much touted 104 merit rated Red Ch­es­nut Road, although he was re­ceiv­ing 4kg and the lat­ter was re­turn­ing from an eight month lay­off. He will rel­ish the step up in trip on pedi­gree. Win­ter Is Com­ing is by Western Win­ter and is out of a half-sis­ter to San­sui Summer Cup run­ner-up Deo Ju­vente, while his cham­pion grandam Cir­cle Of Life is a half-sis­ter to J&B Met win­ner Ze­bra Cross­ing.

He is a laid back type, who likes to run from the front and a tongue tie helped him last time.

Ol­li­van­der is a rangy, long-strid­ing sort who will be im­prov­ing all the time. This is es­pe­cially as he is a BassRobin­son-trained son of Sil­vano. He stayed on to be beaten two lengths by stable­mate Hori­zon in the Politi­cian Stakes. How­ever, he is now 3kg worse off with the lat­ter and is drawn ten out of ten, so has it all to do.

Omaha Tribe

Omaha Tribe is a stay­ing type and off quite an ex­posed merit rat­ing of 75 looks to be an op­ti­mistic en­try.

Cap­tain Gam­bler is a long-strid­ing sort by Cap­tain Al and is a half-sis­ter to Liq­uid Mer­cury, who fin­ished a 4,8 length third in the 2015 Cape Derby be­hind Er­ti­jaal.

She stayed on from last in the Gr 1 WSB Cape Fil­lies Guineas for a 4,35 length eighth.

She then stayed on again for a 4,15 length sev­enth in the Listed Ja­maica Hand­i­cap for fil­lies and mares over the Cape Derby 2 000m course and dis­tance.

Cap­tain Gam­bler will be get­ting 2,5kg from the boys, which is worth about two lengths in hand­i­cap­ping terms, and has scope. How­ever, she was only run­ning off a 91 merit rat­ing in the Ja­maica and will need to step up con­sid­er­ably.

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