Longsword gets the vote
easier to overcome a 12 draw this time as it is a weaker field than the Guineas.
Safe Harbour can also be described as rangy and has had an outstanding summer in Cape Town. She won the R2,5 million CTS Ready To Run Stakes over 1 400m and beat four horses in that race who went on to run in the Cape Guineas. She was then touched off by Just Sensual in the Gr 1 WSB Cape Fillies Guineas and was also touched off by the champion older filly BelaBela in the Gr 1 Maine Chance Paddock Stakes over 1 800m. She has a better draw than William Longsword, seven, and Weichong Marwing remains aboard.
However, Just Sensual could well confirm the Cape Fillies Guineas form, especially as she will come into the race fresher.
She also has the legendary Frankie Dettori aboard. On the downside, she has to overcome a draw of 18. However, she was also drawn wide in the Cape Fillies Guineas and had to run wide into the straight. Despite that she still found the necessary extra to beat Safe Harbour, who had the advantage of a number two draw. Anton Marcus prefers William Longsword to Just Sensual and this swings it in the colt’s favour. It could well be William Longsword’s last run before going to stud, so it will be a good race to win.
The dark horses look to be the relatively unexposed African Night Sky and the filly Epona, although the latter would probably prefer further.