An­a­lyst warns ANC un­likely to make up lost ground: ‘his­tory is against it’

The Star Early Edition - - POLITICS -

AN AN­A­LYST has warned that the ANC would not be able to re­gain lost po­lit­i­cal ground de­spite its at­tempts at the pol­icy con­fer­ence in Nas­rec, Soweto, to re­group.

Pro­fes­sor Dirk Kotze of Unisa said yes­ter­day he agreed the party was at its weak­est since 1994, but it would be dif­fi­cult to win back the sup­port it had com­manded over the years.

ANC head of po­lit­i­cal ed­u­ca­tion Nathi Mthethwa ad­mit­ted yes­ter­day that the party was at its weak­est, but said it would bounce back.

He said the ANC had iden­ti­fied the prob­lems and would be able to cor­rect all the prob­lems ahead of 2019.

Kotze said the ANC’s Strat­egy and Tac­tics doc­u­ment was look­ing at the broader is­sues af­fect­ing the or­gan­i­sa­tion. Much would de­pend on the sec­toral com­mis­sions when they present their res­o­lu­tions to­day.

“It has got to de­pend on what the or­gan­i­sa­tional re­newal com­mis­sion is go­ing to con­clude, be­cause Strat­egy and Tac­tics is look­ing at the broad per­spec­tive,” said Kotze.

“It is in­cum­bent on that com­mis­sion to come up with solutions.

“The main prob­lem for any party in this po­si­tion, the gov­ern­ing party which is los­ing po­si­tion is not likely to turn it around.”

He said this had hap­pened to the Congress Party in In­dia and other par­ties in Africa.

“If they start los­ing sup­port they won’t come back. His­tory is against the ANC,” said Kotze.

Mthethwa said the ANC would self-cor­rect ahead of the 2019 polls.

He said re­search had shown where the prob­lems were, and the party would be able to self-cor­rect.

He added that the ANC had taken stock of what hap­pened in the lo­cal gov­ern­ment elec­tions in Au­gust, where the party lost the key met­ros of Joburg, Tsh­wane and Nel­son Man­dela Bay.

He said they had iden­ti­fied the prob­lems and they needed to ad­dress them.

“We say the pos­tu­la­tion that the lib­er­a­tion move­ments stall af­ter at­tain­ing free­dom is not based on any sci­ence.

“We look around us and at the lib­er­a­tion move­ments who fell flat af­ter at­tain­ing free­dom.

“But we look at other lib­er­a­tion move­ments who were able to con­tinue,” said Mthethwa.

He said Swapo in Namibia had lost some po­lit­i­cal ground at some point, but man­aged to re­claim it.

Chama Chama Pun­duzi in Tan­za­nia had also been in charge of the gov­ern­ment for over 50 years.

He said the ANC could and would bounce back – the po­lit­i­cal fu­ture of the ANC was in its own hands.

CLOS­ING-DOWN SALE? ANC cloth­ing on sale at the ANC’s na­tional pol­icy con­fer­ence.

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