African Airports Project Growth for Remainder of 2017
Project Growth for Remainder of 2017
International Arrivals in Africa by origin regions (Jan-Jul 2017) The report reveals that in the first seven months of the year, 01 Jan – 31 July 2017, total international flight arrivals grew by 14.0% over the same period in 2016. Most significantly, growth was stronger for travel to and from the continent than within the continent. Arrivals from Europe, which make up 46% of the market, were up 13.2%. From the Americas, arrivals were up 17.6%; from the Middle East, they were up 14.0% and from Asia Pacific, they were up 18.4%. By comparison, intra-African air travel, which makes up 26% of the market, was up 12.6%.
Top 10 African Destination Countries (Jan-Jul 2017) Looking at Africa's top ten destination countries, there have been stand-out performances from Tunisia and Egypt, which are recovering from notorious terrorist attacks two years ago, up 33.5% and 24.8% respectively. In addition, Morocco and Tunisia received a huge boost in arrivals from China, up 450% and 250% respectively, after they relaxed visa restrictions. The one disappointment is Nigeria, which has seen a 0.8% drop, in the wake of recession in 2016.
Looking forward to the end of the calendar year, bookings for flights to Africa are currently 16.8% ahead of where they were on July 31st, 2016. Bookings from Europe are currently 17.5% ahead, from the Americas 26.6% ahead, from Asia Pacific 11.5% ahead, from the Middle East 8.2% ahead and bookings for intra-African air travel are 11.0% ahead. Arrivals in Africa on the book by Origin Regions (Aug-Jul 2017) A specific look at East Africa shows very similar trends in year to date performance and outlook to the end of the year. However, it has stronger forward bookings from Europe, 22.9% ahead and less strong forward bookings from elsewhere; the Americas are 15.5% ahead and intraAfrican air travel 7.6% ahead. However, bookings from the Middle East and Asia Pacific are 6.0% and 3.8% behind respectively.
On an individual airport level, the most significant capacity increase in East Africa is at Kigali, with new routes to Brussels, London and Mumbai. Other notable new capacity includes Kilimanjaro to Dubai and Nairobi to Muscat and to Yemen.
Commenting on the ForwardKeys report, Jon Howell, Aviation and Tourism Development Manager at Bench Events, who is responsible for AviaDev, says: “As an international executive who has travelled around Africa for many years, I am longing for the day when it is easier to fly directly between African cities, as is possible on other continents. I am sure I'm not alone in that desire and I'm equally sure, it will happen eventually. That's why I'm determined that the discussions that will take place at AviaDev will help bring that vision closer.”
Graphs © Forward Data SL, 2017, All Rights Reserved.
An analysis of seat capacity for travel to the top ten international airports in Africa, produced by ForwardKeys, shows double digit growth in flight arrivals for the first half of this year with little indication that the pace of growth will slow down soon. The wider report makes encouraging reading for airlines, governments and hoteliers planning to discuss possible new aviation routes at AviaDev in Kigali in October.