WILL LATINOS VOTE FOR THE OPPOSITION?
- Drug dealers, sexual predators, "poisonous snakes" blamed for all the ills plaguing US society: President Donald Trump has cast Latino immigrants as public enemy numero uno in his rallies and tweets in the runup to November 6.
But oddly enough, millions of Hispanic voters do not appear set on taking revenge at the polls: no surveys indicate a Latino wave to turf Republicans out of Congress come Tuesday.
What's going on? According to experts, Trump's repeated insults and bullying haven't had the effect of pushing Latinos toward the Democrat party - rather they have driven them from voting at all.
"In 2016 many analysts had pointed to then-candidate Trump's comments on Mexican immigrants and Hispanics as perhaps being a motivator to get Latinos to the polls," said Mark Hugo Lopez, director of global migration and demography research at Pew Research Center. But in reality, he says, "the turnout fell."
And 30 per cent of all Hispanics ended up in fact voting for Trump.
There are 29 million Hispanics registered to vote in the midterm elections, where all 435 seats from the House of Representatives are up for grabs, onethird of the Senate, the governors of 36 states and numerous local officials including judges, sheriffs and attorneys general.
Burned by their failures to accurately predict the 2016 presidential vote, many analysts are striking a more cautious note.
"It remains to be seen what will happen this year. Latinos may be more interested in voting but there are many indications that perhaps the turnout rate may not rise much compared to 2014," said Lopez.
When midterms were held that year the turnout rate was only 27 per cent for the demographic - a history low, according to Pew Research. - Veterans and Evangelicals -
It ends up being a vicious circle: the fewer Latinos are mobilised, the less the major political parties spend gearing their platforms to address the community's concerns.
US President Donald Trump.