A Clinton dynasty? 4 crucial things to look out for in 2015
A still undeclared candidate, Hillary Rodham Clinton sits atop the prospective field of Democratic presidential candidates for 2016. But as Clinton has said before, if she runs again, she’ll work as hard as any underdog.
Clinton’s 2008 presidential bid stumbled in the Democratic primary against U.S. President Barack Obama, undermined by anti-war activists who opposed her vote to authorize the Iraq war, infighting among her staff and other problems.
How the former first lady attempts to address those deficiencies — assuming she runs for president, as expected — will be a big part of Clinton’s efforts next year. Here’s a look at five things to watch from Clinton in 2015.
ANNOUNCEMENT: Speculation about the timing of Clinton’s announcement has been rampant. Some Democrats wanted her to make it official after the party’s dreadful midterm elections, when the Democrats lost control of the Senate. Clinton has scheduled some paid speeches into March, raising the possibility that she will hold off until spring. Democratic insiders expect a different approach this time — recall her January 2007 video declaring, “I’m in to win” — that harnesses the grassroots activists sowed by outside super PACs, groups that are barred from making direct contributions to political campaigns but are allowed to spend unlimited funds to support candidates independently.
RATIONALE: Clinton has said anyone who runs for president needs to have a specific agenda and have a reason to run. She offered hints at what her rationale might be during the campaign, advocating for middle-class economic prosperity, paid leave for working mothers and a hike in the minimum wage. The party’s liberal wing will look for signs that she might offer a brand of economic populism that have made them gravitate to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who says she’s not running in 2016.
OBAMA: Where Clinton embraces the president’s agenda, and where she seeks to separate herself from him, will be closely scrutinized. Obama was a liability for many Democrats during the 2014 midterm elections and saw his approval ratings sink during the year. Clinton, who served as secretary of state under Obama, will need to remain loyal enough to the president to maintain his voting coalition while displaying enough independence to appeal to those who have grown weary of him. Succeeding a two-term president in your own party is never easy in the U.S.
TEAM: How Clinton assembles a campaign team could be instructive of what she’s learned since 2008. Back then, her campaign was beset by internal tensions and fights over strategy. This time, Clinton will have her pick of the party’s top talent and Democrats expect her to build upon the technical know-how of the Obama campaigns.