Polls on KMT’s Hung set for publication today
The results of opinion polls on Deputy Legislative Speaker Hung Hsiu-chu ( ) will be published Sunday as part of the ruling Kuomintang’s (KMT) presidential primary, KMT Chairman Eric Chu said Saturday.
Chu said everything will proceed according to the established system.
“Tomorrow at 10 a.m., we will openly unseal (the results) in front of everybody,” he said.
The results will be closely watched by not only the KMT’s supporters but those of the main opposition Democratic Progressive Party, which is eager to regain the presidency it lost in 2008 by getting its chairwoman, Tsai Ing-wen, elected in next January’s presidential race.
Hung is the only candidate to have qualified for the KMT’s presidential primary. Whether she will be nominated will be decided by her ability to secure at least 3-percent support in the series of opinion polls conducted by three different pollsters Friday and Saturday.
There were, however, rumors that even if Hung passes the test of polls, the KMT might still not nominate her.
In recent days, Legislative Speaker Wang Jin-pyng has given hints he is interested in running for election if he is drafted by the party.
In response to rumors that the KMT might not nominate Hung and draft someone else instead, Chu said because the KMT is in the process of transforming into a fully democratic party, there are all kinds of voices and rumors. The party still hopes to set up a system and act accordingly, he said.
“We respect all kind of voices, but sometimes don’t take rumors seriously,” he said.
Many of the rumors are related to claims that Hung cannot win the national election and Wang would have a better chance of beating Tsai in her attempt to succeed President Ma Ying-jeou, who won back power for the KMT in 2008.
According to the ruling party’s regulations, Hung’s nomination will be decided by the collective outcomes of the polls before it is confirmed by a convention of party delegates in July.
Each of the three polls will be comprised of an “approval” survey designed to gauge respondents’ support for Hung as a candidate and a “comparative” survey testing her rating against that of Tsai Ing-wen ( ), chairwoman and presidential nominee of the opposition Democratic Progressive Party.
Each of the three polls must obtain 1,200 valid results from those polled in order for the re- sults to stand.
Results from the “approval” and “comparative” components will both be assigned a 50 percent weighting towards Hung’s overall support rating assessment, and the final outcome will be taken from the average of the three polls.
If Hung fails to win at least 30 percent support in the polls, the KMT can decide not to nominate her and can draft another candidate, according to KMT rules.