Output declines keep oil on winning streak
Futures rise as production in the US takes a dive
Oil yesterday headed for its longest winning streak in two months after declines in US crude production and petrol inventories allayed some concerns that world markets remain oversupplied.
Futures rose as much as 1.4 per cent in New York to the highest in two weeks after advancing 5.2 per cent in the previous five sessions. US production tumbled by 100,000 barrels a day last week, the most since early July, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.
The decline was likely driven by field maintenance in Alaska and the impact of tropical storm Cindy. Crude stockpiles unexpectedly expanded while petrol inventories fell for a second week. Oil in New York and London tumbled into a bear market last week on concerns that rising global supply will counter output cuts from the Opec and its partners. US crude inventories remain more than 100 million barrels above the five year seasonal average.
“Crude oil production registered a decent drop” and “this is what the market focused on,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates in London. “Product figures were probably equally supportive.”
West Texas Intermediate for August delivery was at $45.3 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 58 cents, at 1.09pm in London. Total volume traded was 5 per cent above the 100-day average. The contract gained 50 cents to $44.74 on Wednesday. Prices are down 6.2 per cent this month.
Brent for August settlement, which expires today, gained 59 cents to $47.90 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract added 66 cents, or 1.4 per cent, to $47.31 on Wednesday. The global benchmark traded at a premium of $2.58 to WTI. US crude output dropped to 9.25 million barrels a day last week, according to the EIA. Crude stockpiles rose by 118,000 barrels to 509.2 million, the first increase in three weeks.
All 10 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg before the report had predicted inventories would decline.