Parties set to benefit from the slump of UKIP
Regional analysis of national survey gives an insight into voting intentions
BOTH the Labour and Conservative vote may be set to rise in the South East as support for UKIP drops, according to an exclusive nationwide survey of voting intentions.
Some 28% of respondents to the survey in the region said they intended to vote for Labour on June 8 – compared to the 25% of respondents who backed the party in the 2015 General Election.
Some 39% said they planned to vote Conservative next month, compared to 36% who said they voted Tory in 2015.
UKIP appear to be the big losers, with 8% of voters saying would back the party this time, and 13% saying they did so in 2015.
The Lib Dems could also see a slight increase in their vote share in the region compared with 2015, the survey suggests.
Some 13% said they would back Tim Farron’s party next month while only 11% said they voted Lib Dem in 2015.
The survey also reveals more than half of voters in the South East (57%) say Brexit will be a factor in how they vote.
A majority believe Theresa May would be a better Brexit negotiator than Jeremy Corbyn, with 58% of people in the region choosing her compared with 26% for the Labour leader.
Confidence in Mrs May increases with age, with 76% of those aged 65 and over thinking she would be the best Brexit negotiator, compared with 44% of 18 to 24 year-olds.
A quarter of respondents are considering voting tactically in the General Election, with a further fifth (18%) saying they are still undecided on who they will support.
Men were more likely to have ruled out a tactical vote – 64% compared to 49% of women.
The over-65s were also the least likely to be considering a tactical vote.
Some 76% in that age group in the South East said they would not vote tactically, compared with 42% of 18 to 24-year-olds who have ruled out a tactical vote.
The counties covered in this surveyare Hampshire, Surrey, Berkshire, Buckinghamshire, East Sussex, Hampshire, Kent, Oxfordshire and West Sussex.
The survey was carried out online in partnership with Google Surveys on newspaper websites, publisher sites and Google’s native app.
A total of 9,741 people completed the survey nationwide.