UK fac­ing ‘un­nat­u­ral’ heat­waves un­less we cut car­bon emis­sions COM­MENT

Daily Express - - NEWS - By John Ing­ham JOHN ING­HAM En­vi­ron­ment Edi­tor

BRI­TAIN could face ex­treme and un­nat­u­ral heat­waves by the end of the cen­tury un­less the world cuts car­bon emis­sions, ex­perts warned yes­ter­day.

The Met Of­fice said the chances of see­ing tem­per­a­tures rise past 104F (40C) are now 10 times higher than if man had not af­fected the cli­mate. This would pose se­vere health prob­lems for mil­lions across the coun­try and could be un­bear­able for some.

The UK record tem­per­a­ture is 101.6F set in Cam­bridge in July last year. But this could soon be the norm for a Bri­tish sum­mer, re­searchers claimed.

The Met Of­fice said the chances of ex­treme high tem­per­a­tures in parts of the UK could “in­crease sig­nif­i­cantly” by the end of the cen­tury.

Cur­rently, the chances of record­ing 104F are “ex­tremely low”. But it could oc­cur ev­ery three to four years by 2100 if the world con­tin­ues to pump out high levels of green­house gases, it was said.

If the world hon­ours the 2015 Paris cli­mate agree­ment to limit tem­per­a­tures to 2C above prein­dus­trial levels the chances would be “con­sid­er­ably lower”.

The ma­jor cli­mate study said the South Pole has warmed at more than three times the global rate since 1989. It ar­gued this was prob­a­bly in­ten­si­fied by in­creases in green­house gases.

Lead au­thor Dr Niko­laos Chris­tidis said: “We found the like­li­hood of ex­tremely hot days in the UK has been in­creas­ing and will con­tinue to do so dur­ing the course of the cen­tury.

“Cli­mate change has al­ready in­flu­enced the like­li­hood of tem­per­a­ture ex­tremes in the UK.

“The chances of see­ing 104F days in the UK could be as much as 10 times more likely in the cur­rent cli­mate than un­der

EV­ERY week, world lead­ers are warned of the cli­mate catas­tro­phe they are fail­ing to face.

Here in the UK we have had the wettest Fe­bru­ary and the sun­ni­est spring on record. And May was the sun­ni­est month ever.

Records keep tum­bling, which is pre­cisely what is ex­pected from man-made cli­mate change. The weather will be­come more and more ex­treme.

The Met Of­fice warn­ing yes­ter­day that Eng­land could reg­u­larly face swel­ter­ing tem­per­a­tures with­out cuts to green­house gas emis­sions does not sound wide of the mark.

The trick is to stop adding to green­house gases, which in­clude wa­ter vapour, meth­ane and ni­trous ox­ide.

But cli­mate change is known as global warm­ing for a rea­son. A global ef­fort is needed now. a nat­u­ral cli­mate un­af­fected by hu­mans. The like­li­hood of ex­ceed­ing 104F in the UK in a given year has also been rapidly in­creas­ing and, with­out curb­ing green­house gas emis­sions, such ex­tremes could be tak­ing place ev­ery few years by 2100.”

Dr Mark McCarthy, co-au­thor and head of the Met Of­fice’s Na­tional Cli­mate In­for­ma­tion Cen­tre, said: “This re­search shows hu­man-caused cli­mate change has set us on course to see tem­per­a­ture ex­tremes in the UK that would be highly un­likely

un­der a nat­u­ral cli­mate.” He said “ur­gent ac­tion to re­duce emis­sions” was re­quired im­me­di­ately.

Last week the Com­mit­tee on Cli­mate Change – which ad­vises the UK Gov­ern­ment – said it has a “once in a life­time chance” to turn the coro­n­avirus cri­sis into “a defin­ing mo­ment” in the fight against cli­mate change.

It called for a green eco­nomic re­cov­ery to ac­cel­er­ate the tran­si­tion to a cleaner econ­omy.

The study’s find­ings were pub­lished in the jour­nal Na­ture Cli­mate Change.

Pic­ture: JAMES HARDISTY/SWNS

Rolly with lobster pots at son’s shed

Ex­treme heat could be a reg­u­lar oc­cur­rence

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