Turn down the noise

Mark finds some space to think more clearly and comes up with a list of horses to fol­low

Racing Ahead - - MARK COTON -

FE­BRU­ARY 24

Bet­ting wouldn’t be the only field where,in or­der to suc­ceed,it is nec­es­sary to es­cape from the gen­eral “noise” into the clar­ity of your own think­ing. (If you’re not think­ing clearly you’ve no chance).

All those years ago, the orig­i­nal pur­pose of the Pricewise col­umn, apart from an at­tempt to draw the writer from the ob­scu­rity of the pa­per’s pro­duc­tion desk, was to try to get the reader to think clearly about the bet­ting side of the se­lec­tion process.

What grounds are there for be­liev­ing this horse might be over-priced?

Are we go­ing to beat the start­ing price by a sig­nif­i­cant mar­gin if we step in now?

Is it a spec­u­la­tive pick or some­thing to bet on with con­fi­dence?

You might be­lieve your fancy has a tremen­dous amount go­ing for it and, as an ortho­dox form se­lec­tion,it might,but it ought be dis­qual­i­fied as a bet­ting propo­si­tion if it isn’t the right price.

Then again, it jumped so well last time, trav­elled so strongly...

FE­BRU­ARY 25

Roger Var­ian has been rein­tro­duc­ing some promis­ing three-year-olds on the all-weather, none more im­pres­sive than En­naadd, who won a com­pet­i­tive 1m hand­i­cap in tremen­dous style at Chelms­ford (7.10).

Rid­den with the ut­most con­fi­dence by An­drea Atzeni, En­naadd swept through late to beat the con­sis­tent Ice Royal and the good re­cent C&D win­ner They­don Bois, and is def­i­nitely one to look for­ward to in the com­ing months, with the prom­ise of bet­ter to come at 1m2f.

Con­nec­tions later teamed up for a dou­ble with Barsanti in the con­clud­ing hand­i­cap (8.40).The four-year-old wouldn’t be in En­naadd’s class, but ran green here and is the type to do bet­ter on turf at around 1m4f.

Ear­lier on the card,Eleuthera im­proved on his re­cent South­well maiden form upped to 6f on Poly­track (6.10) and looks a pro­gres­sive sort for trainer Kevin Ryan.

Switch­ing to the jumps,Boy In A Bent­ley ran a promis­ing first race over hur­dles for Kim Bai­ley when run­ner-up to favourite Board Of Trade in the first divi­sion of the 2m4f maiden hur­dle (4.30). The six-year-old is likely to ap­pre­ci­ate a stiffer test of stamina and is an in­ter­est­ing long-term prospect.

FE­BRU­ARY 26

Var­ian’s good re­cent Kemp­ton win­ner Kala­mata was ex­cep­tion­ally weak in the mar­ket tak­ing a slight rise in class into a de­cent 1m4f hand­i­cap at Ling­field (4.40). Held up in a rel­a­tively slowly-run race,she never looked like get­ting to the front, but stayed on strongly in the clos­ing stages and the sus­pi­cion is she re­mains pro­gres­sive, if likely to be suited by a gal­lop­ing track.

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