LAURENS IS A SILLY PRICE SO GET ON HER AT 11/4
Ascot 1.50 - Muthmir is a solid horse at this level, although it is surprising that despite enjoying an illustrious career, he is yet to win at Ascot. That is a slight negative but in conjunction with his ‘hold up’ running style it’s enough to put me off him today.
I am backing the likeable JUDICIAL instead who likes to race closer to the pace and, despite his advancing years, is still improving. He racked up a couple of good wins early in the season before going wrong in the Nunthorpe. Soft ground hindered him last time but back on a firm surface I am expecting him to be bang there come the line. Newmarket 2.05 - As a sprinter, PERFECTION, is unexposed. John Gosden seems to produce a high class Cheveley Park filly every year and although this one has been moulded into a miler, her win last time out over 6f suggests that is her optimum trip. A solid fourth in the Sandringham reads well and a 3rd place to Sandringham second, Ortiz, is also a fair effort. Last time out she made all and still pulled away late on so if she is allowed an easy time on the lead today her stamina means she could be hard to catch.
Ascot 2.25 - John Gosden could well be in for a good weekend as he has a host of nice chances today and he saddles the Arc favourite tomorrow. It’s his FIRST ELEVEN (NB) who rates as one of my bets of the weekend after he hacked up over course and distance last time. The way he travelled into the race was taking and when sent to the front, he put the race to bed almost instantly. He looks a group performer in the making.
Redcar 2.45 - With 23 runners fanned across a pretty narrow straight, there is so much that can go wrong. If horses ran in lanes I would be quite sweet on BEAT LE BON as I think he is better than the bare form of his first two runs. Richard Hannon thinks highly of him but I’m not sure he knows what his best trip is. He faded late last time over a mile so a drop to a strongly run six against inferior opposition could prove to be a shrewd move. If he gets a clear run, 12/1 is generous.
Ascot 3.00 - I’m not sure if we have got the real Limato lining up today. He has won two races on the bounce but he was workmanlike last time, only just outstaying them. I think he may be more a miler these days, so I do fear for him in against some good sprinters. Second favourite, PROJECTION, jumps out at me as he has run all of his best races at Ascot. There should be a good pace to aim at with Gifted Master in the line up and I think that will set it up perfectly for him.
Newmarket 3.15 - If LAURENS (NAP) was trained by Gosden, O’Brien or Stoute I am sure she would be odds on shot here. And rightly so, based on her win last time out when she took down Alpha Centauri.
That was an impressive performance but perhaps it’s the Burke/Tudhope combination which punters aren’t getting excited about? I don’t know, nor do I care because the less people get excited about her, the more 11/4 and bigger I can get about her. She is a silly price and I advise punters to get on. Ascot 3.35 - I did say a couple weeks ago that RIPP ORF running at Ascot, over 7f, with more than four places on offer, is a free each way bet.
He won comfortably that day and I can see no reason why he won’t be bang there again today. He’s encountering the same trip, track and ground and although his running style comes with risks attached, Jason Watson has struck up a relationship with the horse and will have him ideally placed to strike late.