Cleonte can out kick rest from kind draw

The Racing Paper - - Trends And Diary - By John An­thony

THE draw is more im­por­tant than you might think in the Ce­sare­witch. Although the run­ners are tack­ling 2m2f, they are only get­ting into their stride when hit­ting the sharp right-hand bend at New­mar­ket.

That can cause all sorts of prob­lems to horses caught out wide who ei­ther lose a lot of ground or have to waste pre­cious en­ergy mak­ing sure they are in a good po­si­tion. That’s not to say it isn’t pos­si­ble to win from a very high num­ber but it’s a clear dis­ad­van­tage to be in the top third.

Look­ing at the ta­ble, only one horse com­ing from wider than 24 has man­aged to win in the past ten run­nings.

An­other im­por­tant trend is to have won a race over 2m or fur­ther which is some­thing a sur­pris­ing num­ber of Ce­sare­witch hope­fuls haven’t man­aged.

You want to stick with horses that have per­formed at a de­cent level, ide­ally in this Class 2 with a run at Listed or higher some­thing else to look out for.

Weight car­ried is also im­por­tant as it’s taken a spe­cial per­for­mance to shoul­der more than 9st and the two that man­aged it were big out­siders at 66s and 50/1. Horses at the high and low ex­tremes of the hand­i­cap have had a tough time.

It’s a plus to have fin­ished no worse than sixth last time and you want a horse hav­ing at least its fifth race of the cam­paign.

From the 34 fac­ing the starter this time, there are a cou­ple of in­ter­est­ing con­tenders.

Law Girl ticks a lot of boxes but has not won be­yond 1m5f on the Flat, although she has over hur­dles. This is the first time Wil­lie Mullins has upped her past that win­ning trip and she has the right sort of weight and pro­file.

One that is worth a close look is CLEONTE.

He is a cou­ple of pounds higher in the weights than you may like but he’s still only shoul­der­ing 9st for Oisin Mur­phy. The draw has been kind enough with stall seven and he was an im­pres­sive Class 2 win­ner over 2m at As­cot last time out.

He was a Listed win­ner in France be­fore join­ing An­drew Bald­ing who has taken a while to get to the bot­tom of him. That win in the Sher­gar Cup Stay­ers fol­lowed an ex­cel­lent run in the JLT Cup at New­bury and he looks a bet­ter horse than the one that started the cam­paign.

Of course, he will need luck in run­ning but he showed an im­pres­sive fin­ish­ing kick last time and that will be needed in this mas­sive field.

Older horses don’t have the best of records in York’s Coral Sprint Tro­phy at 3.15 where it also pays to stick with past win­ners over the 6f trip.

Past ex­pe­ri­ence of the Knavesmire is a real plus as the track doesn’t suit ev­ery horse. From those that have tasted suc­cess there, only Ma­jor Jumbo and GOLDEN APOLLO have been lucky with a low draw.

The lat­ter gets the nod and is only 3lb higher than when run­ning re­ally well here in July and his claim­ing jockey takes that off to­day. Be­ing a son of Piv­otal this dis­tance with some cut in the ground is ideal and he rarely runs a bad race at York.

The Au­tumn Stakes at New­maket (2.25) usu­ally goes to a horse that fin­ished first or sec­ond last time out.

It’s not been a race for horses hav­ing just their sec­ond out­ing which knocks out a cou­ple of the fan­cied run­ners. Look­ing at those still stand­ing, it seems a good chance for French hope PER­SIAN KING.

Trainer An­dre Fabre is fa­mous for bring­ing a horse across the Chan­nel only if he thinks it will win. His raider is tak­ing a step up in class here but he has won his past two out­ings at Chan­tilly with­out break­ing sweat.

He will need to im­prove on that but looks a solid prospect based on the trends.

Fin­ish­ing speed: Cleonte pow­ers home in Sher­gar Cup

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