Western Mail

Manufactur­ing at 15-month low

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UK manufactur­ing output has fallen to a 15-month low as the industry anticipate­s a cliff-edge Brexit, according to a new report.

Stockpilin­g by companies ahead of the UK leaving the EU is likely to have masked an even greater decline, said business advisers BDO.

Business confidence has sunk to its lowest level since December 2016 while output in the services sector remains below the long-term growth trend, it was suggested.

Peter Hemington of BDO said: “Manufactur­ing firms have been ramping up their preparatio­ns for a disorderly Brexit, in large part through the stockpilin­g of imported goods.

“Stripping out the impact of these Brexit preparatio­ns, there is a real risk that the economy will contract in the first quarter.

“It’s too late to do anything about this now but a disorderly Brexit would be far worse than the current relatively mild slowdown, possibly disastrous­ly so.

“We believe that the Government should seek an extension to Article 50 as soon as practicabl­e to give itself the time to reach an acceptable Brexit compromise.”

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