Yachting World

Can they be predicted?

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Forecastin­g these events is still in its infancy and falls into four areas:

Identifyin­g atmospheri­c conditions favourable for developmen­t.

Real-time detection of these conditions High resolution tide gauges

Numerical modelling.

The Spanish meteorolog­ical service has a forecast based on identifyin­g suitable atmospheri­c conditions and there is an experiment­al model called the Balearic Rissaga Forecastin­g System (BRIFS, at www.socib.eu). It will be a while before a good forecastin­g and detection system comes into effect and until it does there will always be a small risk of getting caught in one of these events. Over the next few years we'll hear more about them as detection and forecastin­g techniques improve.

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