Crys­tal ball: How did Bohls fare on UT pre­dic­tions?

Bohls

Austin American-Statesman - - FRONT PAGE - Con­tin­ued from C Con­tact Kirk Bohls at 4453772. Twit­ter: @kbohls

It’s

time for our an­nual re­view of — i.e., apolo­gies for — the col­lege foot­ball pre­dic­tions con­cern­ing the Texas Longhorns writ­ten in this space. They were of­fered back in Au­gust, when we didn’t know how to pro­nounce Daje John­son — and Bryan Harsin didn’t know how to use him — and we thought the quar­ter­back po­si­tion would be set­tled be­fore Week 12 and Mack Brown would have Texas closer to 2013 fu­ture promi­nence than 2011 false prom­ise. So here goes: Then: Ash will start ev­ery game and will be dras­ti­cally im­proved over last sea­son.

Now: OK, ev­ery game but one. And he dra­mat­i­cally up­graded his per­for­mances in eight of his 11 games.

Then: He will whit­tle his in­ter­cep­tions from eight to seven and raise his touch­down to­tal from four to 15.

Now: Very close. Ash did cut those in­ter­cep­tions to seven and hiked his touch­down to­tal to 17.

Then: His com­ple­tion per­cent­age will in­crease to 62 per­cent, up from 56.6.

Now: Even bet­ter. His ac­cu­racy rose to 67 per­cent.

Then: Ash will have one in­ter­cep­tion re­turned for a score. Now: Not a sin­gle one. Then: Case McCoy will play of­ten — but rarely in the first half, bar­ring in­jury — and will make one key scram­ble for a first down in a Big 12 game.

Now: He took just six firsthalf snaps all sea­son — all in the fi­nal 94 sec­onds of the sec­ond quar­ter against TCU — un­til his lone start against Kansas State. Don’t re­mem­ber a big scram­ble, but I do re­call sev­eral crit­i­cal passes in the Kansas game and 17 straight com­ple­tions ver­sus Kansas State.

Then: Texas will have its first 1,000-yard rusher in five years in fresh­man Johnathan Gray, even though he will have fewer

car­ries than Mal­colm Brown.

Now: The Horns would have had a 1,000-yard run­ner if they had been smart and al­lowed Gray to have more than nine car­ries in five of his first seven games, when he to­taled only 161 yards. Bad mis­use.

Then: Gray will break at least three runs of more than 50 yards, will score 12 touch­downs and will run for 1,134 yards.

Now: We weren’t in the neigh­bor­hood be­cause his long­est of the year was for 49 yards. Joe Berg­eron stole all the touch­downs, leav­ing just three for Gray and 683 yards.

Then: Brown will grind out 943 yards and score 10 touch­downs.

Now: An an­kle in­jury kept the sopho­more on the side­lines for al­most nine games, lim­it­ing him to 316 yards and four scores.

Then: Berg­eron will rush for 685 yards and seven touch­downs.

Now: It al­most seemed as if Berg­eron had as many touch­downs as he did yards. He crossed the goalline a stag­ger­ing 16 times and ran for 565 yards.

Then: Texas will have three run­ning backs go over 100 yards in the same game, prob­a­bly against Kansas.

Now: Berg­eron and Brown both topped the cen­tury mark in the opener against Wy­oming, when D.J. Mon­roe dashed for 36 yards. That was as close as they came.

Then: The lead­ing re­ceiver will be Jaxon Ship­ley, with 66 catches for 1,045 yards and seven scores. But he will miss two games with in­jury. Ship­ley also will throw for a touch­down.

Now: Ship­ley had 51 catches for 649 yards. He had six, not seven, TDs, played ev­ery game and didn’t com­plete one of his three passes.

Then: Mike Davis will be up and down but will fin­ish with 52 re­cep­tions (he had 54) for 723 yards (909) and five (seven) touch­downs.

Now: We were in the ball­park, but Davis flour­ished and was the real of­fen­sive MVP this year.

Then: Mar­quise Good­win will have 36 catches for 420 yards.

Now: Try 22 for 272 yards.

Then: The best fresh­man re­ceiver will be Daje John­son, fol­lowed by Ken­dall San­ders.

Now: The ex­plo­sive John­son was by far the best. No one was sec­ond.

Then: No tight end will have more than three touch­downs.

Now: What’s a tight end? D.J. Grant led with two scores, in­clud­ing the game-win­ner against the Jay­hawks.

Then: The Wild for­ma­tion will be just as wild with­out Fozzy. Gray will star in it.

Now: It was more mild than wild. Fozzy, we missed you.

Then: The fresh­man of the year will be Gray. The run­ner-up for that award will be de­fen­sive tackle Mal­com Brown.

Now: I’d go with Gray, as the lead­ing rusher. John­son would be the run­ner-up.

Then: The fan fa­vorite who will reach cult sta­tus will be new de­fen­sive tackle Chris Whaley. Sec­ond on that list will be mid­dle line­backer Steve Ed­mond.

Now: This is a tough one. I’d go with Gray, John­son and line­backer Peter Jinkens, but Ed­mond did lead with 101 tack­les and came on at year’s end.

Then: Texas will lose at least one game when its field-goal kicker misses in the clos­ing sec­onds. Nick Jor­dan and An­thony Fera will di­vide up the du­ties. Put Jor­dan down for six field goals in eight at­tempts, Fera for 12 in 15 tries.

Now: Fera did miss a 41yarder in the three-point loss to West Vir­ginia, and Jor­dan was wide on two big 25-yarders against TCU. Jor­dan fin­ished 8 of 13, Fera 2 of 4 in one of the team’s big­gest dis­ap­point- ments.

Then: Mykkele Thompson will be­come the spe­cial teams star, re­turn one kick­off for a touch­down and block two kicks. Vac­caro will block one. Quan­dre Diggs will score on a re­turn, too.

Now: Thompson did block two kicks, but he never ran back a kick­off. Vac­caro did not. Nor did Diggs, though he did re­turn a blocked ex­tra point against Ok­la­homa.

Then: The de­fense will record two shutouts.

Now: Just one. Thank you, New Mex­ico.

Then: De­fen­sive end Alex Okafor and Vac­caro will be con­sen­sus All-Amer­i­cans.

Now: Vac­caro was named to Pro Foot­ball Weekly’s All-Amer­ica team, and both were Al­lBig 12 se­lec­tions.

Then: Texas will lose to West Vir­ginia and Kansas State. Now: Texas lost to both. Then: Texas will go 10-2 and go to the Cot­ton Bowl to play LSU.

Now: A Cot­ton Bowl berth against LSU seemed like a lock even on the night of the fi­nale, but South­east­ern Con­fer­ence fi­nagling and North­ern Illi­nois’ emer­gence cost Texas A&M and Ok­la­homa more pres­ti­gious bowl slots, push­ing highly dis­ap­point­ing 8-4 Texas to the Valero Alamo Bowl.

Kirk Bohls

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