House unveils health overhaul plan
But four Republican senators say they will oppose repeal of Obamacare if it leaves millions uninsured.
House Republicans WASHINGTON — on Monday released long-anticipated legislation to supplant the Affordable Care Act with a more conservative vision for the nation’s health care system, sketching out a system of individual tax credits and state grants to replace the current law.
But GOP leaders did not issue cost or coverage estimates for their plan, which is still being reviewed by nonpartisan congressional budgetary scorekeepers, and there were signs Monday that fellow Republicans could balk if the legislation leaves swaths of the country without insurance coverage.
Four key Republican senators said they would oppose any new plan that would leave millions of Americans uninsured.
Sens. Rob Portman, R-Ohio, Shelley Moore Capito, R. W.Va., Cory Gardner, R-Colo, and Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, said they would vote against any reform bill that fails to protect Americans who became eligible for coverage under the ACA’s expansion of Medicaid, the government-run health program for the poor and disabled.
All four senators represent states that opted to expand their Medicaid program under the ACA.
“We will not support a plan that does not include stability for Medicaid expansion populations or flexibility for states,” they wrote in a letter to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky.
“Reform should not come at the cost of disruption in access to health care for our country’s most vulnerable and sickest individuals. Any changes made to how Medicaid is financed through the state and federal governments should be coupled with significant new flexibility so they can efficiently and effectively manage their Medicaid programs to best meet their own needs,” the letter said.
With 52 Republicans, McConnell would not have enough votes to pass repeal without the support of at least two of those senators.
The sternly worded letter was sent as House leaders were scrambling to put finishing touches on plans to dismantle the ACA — and became the latest sign that the challenge may be even greater than Hill Republicans and President Trump had realized.
Already cognizant of potential opposition from both conservative Republicans leery of high government costs and moderates seeking to retain insurance coverage for as many Americans as possible, House Republican leaders were expected to unveil an approach Monday that they have long criticized: incomebased aid to help Americans afford health coverage.
Until now, the Republicans had been intending to veer away from the ACA subsidies that help poor and middle-class people obtain insurance, insisting that the size of tax credits should be based entirely on people’s ages and not their incomes.
But legislation to repeal the health care law will propose refundable tax credits that would hinge on earnings as well as age, according to three sources familiar with the most current thinking of the House GOP leadership.
The shift reflects two desires: to limit the cost of tax credits to the government and to try to avert a precipitous drop in the number of Americans who are insured. It also highlights the difficulty Republicans face trying to fulfill their promise to repeal Obamacare. On the one hand, Republicans are trying to satisfy conservatives, who have been rallying for years to eliminate what they see as the entitlements that the ACA created. On the other, they are increasingly worried that pushing too many Americans off insurance rolls would prompt a political backlash.
Trump, although he campaigned on a promise to repeal the ACA, has said publicly he does not want any Americans to lose coverage.
The drafts will culminate two months of intense work by a pair of House committees to try to carry out the GOP’s ardent desire, ever since the ACA was adopted seven years ago without Republican support, to replace the law with a more conservative set of health care policies. The shift on tax credits is an early glimpse at what the legislation will contain.
It is unclear what the size of the tax credits will be compared to the ACA’s subsidies.
This big pivot, developed by the Ways and Means Committee under the guidance of House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., stems from a combination of problems that were arising with the idea of age-only credits that would have been available to any individual or family buying insurance on their own, no matter how affluent. Estimates from congressional budget analysts and the White House’s Office of Management and Budget kept showing that the credits would be both too small to provide enough help to lower-income people and too expensive overall for a GOP determined to slash federal spending that the ACA has required.
According to the sources, this shift reflects the treacherous political and substantive challenges that Republicans face in trying to convert anti-ACA talking points into an actual plan, now that they have an ally in the White House.
While the number of Americans who can afford health insurance has never been the priority for the GOP that it is for Democrats, Trump has made clear that he is sensitive to any changes that would strand large numbers of people who gained coverage under the ACA. In addition, the House leadership is trying to thread its way through a minefield of conflicting priorities even within the chamber’s GOP conference.
To win enough support among House Republicans, the bill has to address concerns of both conservatives concerned about the cost of the overhaul and worries that it might in effect enshrine a new federal entitlement, as well as more moderate members who want to ensure that their constituents retain access to affordable health care, including those who received Medicaid coverage under the ACA.
Lauren Aronson, a spokeswoman for Ways and Means, which is drafting the tax provisions of the bill, declined Monday to comment on specific provisions, saying the bill was still being revised.
The change in thinking about tax credits has emerged since Friday, when a White House meeting chaired by Budget Director Mick Mulvaney and attended by key GOP congressional figures was called to finalize key provisions.
Certain details of the new approach to tax credits remained unclear, including whether they would be restricted to people under a certain income threshold perhaps $75,000, according to the House member briefed on the plan — or whether the subsidy would taper off after a specific income level but not end entirely. Two sources said age would remain one factor in determining the size of a person’s credit.
At the same time, the shift to take income into account could create a potentially difficult ripple effect for Republicans, who regard a reduction in the federal government’s role in health care as a central reason to abandon the sprawling 2010 health care law. One motivation for the GOP thinking that credits could depend only on age was that the Internal Revenue Service would no longer have needed to verify the eligibility of people for financial help, as it has for ACA subsidies. If income is taken into account, the IRS would still need to be involved.
The goal of lessening the government’s role also is behind another change from the ACA that the Republican plans envision: getting rid of the federal requirement on insurers to include a minimum set of “essential benefits” in health plans sold to individuals and small businesses.
Conservatives have aired sharp concerns about the inclusion of refundable tax credits that can be advanced to insurance providers through the year, calling them too similar to the ACA’s tax subsidies.