1. TORONTO 2. BOSTON 3. N.Y. YANKEES 4. BALTIMORE 5. TAMPA BAY
Toronto’s lineup, led by 2015 MVP Josh Donaldson, is loaded, though there are health questions. Shortstop Troy Tulowitzki never stays healthy for long — the 31-year-old has averaged 106 games per season this decade — and DH Edwin Encarnacion (39 homers in ’15) carried an oblique injury late into spring training. The Jays’ back end of the bullpen is fine but otherwise has depth questions, and Toronto’s starting pitching is now average at best after Boston signed former Cy Young winner David Price away from the Jays. That, and the fact that 23-year-olds Mookie Betts (right field) and Xander Bogaerts (shortstop) are developing quickly, could make the Red Sox a factor. And don’t forget the Yankees, who could challenge if they keep starting pitchers Masahiro Tanaka, Michael Pineda and Nathan Eovaldi healthy.