How AP rates pres­i­den­tial race and Road to 270

Daily Freeman (Kingston, NY) - - NATION+WORLD - By Emily Swan­son

In the fi­nal days of the 2016 cam­paign, Hil­lary Clin­ton holds ad­van­tages over Don­ald Trump in just enough states to win her the White House — if she can hold them on Elec­tion Day.

But Clin­ton’s na­tional lead ap­pears to have nar­rowed in the last two weeks, and Clin­ton’s win­ning map ap­pears more frag­ile than it once did.

The Associated Press this week moves New Hamp­shire from lean­ing Demo­cratic to a tossup, Ari­zona and Iowa from a toss-up to lean­ing Repub­li­can, Vir­ginia from strong Demo­cratic to lean­ing Demo­cratic, and Texas from lean­ing Repub­li­can to strong Repub­li­can.

The anal­y­sis is of the map as it stands to­day. It con­sid­ers pref­er­ence polling, re­cent elec­toral his­tory, de­mo­graphic trends and cam­paign pri­or­i­ties such as ad­ver­tis­ing, travel and on-the-ground staff.


Cal­i­for­nia, Con­necti­cut, Delaware, Dis­trict of Columbia, Hawaii, Illi­nois, Maine, Mas­sachusetts, Mary­land, Min­nesota, New Jersey, New Mex­ico, New York, Ore­gon, Rhode Is­land, Ver­mont, Washington state (200 to­tal elec­toral votes).


Colorado, Michi­gan, Ne­vada, Penn­syl­va­nia, Wis­con­sin, Vir­ginia (74 to­tal elec­toral votes).

TOSS-UP: Florida, Maine 2nd Dis­trict, Ne­braska 2nd Dis­trict, New Hamp­shire, North Carolina, Ohio, Utah (74 to­tal elec­toral votes


Alaska, Ari­zona, Ge­or­gia, Iowa, Missouri (46 to­tal elec­toral votes).


Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, In­di­ana, Kansas, Ken­tucky, Louisiana, Mis­sis­sippi, Mon­tana, Ne­braska, North Dakota, Ok­la­homa, South Carolina, South Dakota, Ten­nessee, Texas, West Vir­ginia, Wyoming (144 to­tal elec­toral votes).

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