ANAL­Y­SIS

BEST BET: RACE 5, HOLY GIACOMO

Daily Racing Form National Digital Edition - - Gulfstream -

FIRST RACE

BOYFRIEND’S BACK is drop­ping to a new low off a 14-length loss for $12.5K, from which the sharp win­ner ex­ited to beat trounce state-bred op­tional claimers (92 Beyer). He can get back on track with Panici tak­ing over. RE­MARK­ABLE TALE ral­lied for sec­ond in each of his last two out­ings, but there’s not much speed in this field. MASS APPROVAL wasn’t far be­hind the lat­ter in fourth af­ter a mount­ing a mild in­side bid from sixth in his lat­est.

SEC­OND RACE

PRINCE OF ENG­LAND pos­sesses the best Bey­ers and form in this in­flated $25K seller. He has tac­ti­cal speed and a new rider, the ca­pa­ble Vasquez, who’s 1 for 1 at the meet for this barn. EQUITY is halv­ing in price for his third race off the side­lines, and should be a fac­tor in his sec­ond one­mile at­tempt. FLATTERONI, by Flat­ter, is bred to be a late bloomer. He’s stretch­ing out with am­ple stamina in his pedi­gree, while mak­ing his sec­ond start with Lasix.

THIRD RACE

FLORIDA FAB­U­LOUS is by a pretty good de­but sire, and her dam dropped two route win­ners from four starters, in­clud­ing stakes-placed Sweet N Dis­creet. She’s worked quickly for a trainer who’s 2 for 9 with first-timers in dirt routes over the past five years ($1.37 ROI). HE­LEN VIR­GINIA vied up front through soft posted frac­tions be­fore hold­ing on for sec­ond over COT­TON TOOYAH in her im­proved sec­ond start. MOST PRIV­I­LEGED is by clas­sic win­ner Lookin At Lucky, who’s got­ten nearly 15% de­but win­ners. Her dam, a route win­ner, has been a poor pro­ducer. This high­pro­file barn scored with a first-timer go­ing long last Satur­day.

FOURTH RACE

HUN­DRED YEAR STORM could take ad­van­tage of the no­tion that there’s very lit­tle speed in this seven and a half-fur­long con­di­tioned claimer. Ex­pect the daugh­ter of War Front to lead the way on the stretchout un­der lead­ing rider Saez, who’s 5 for 11 at the meet for this live barn. Stretch-run­ner SASSY ASTRAY got up for sec­ond in her first try at this level Jan. 20. She should hit the ticket with Castel­lano tak­ing over. Use PAT M’S IM­AGE and BULL EM­PRESS un­der­neath in the ex­otics.

FIFTH RACE

HOLY GIACOMO is short­en­ing up a fur­long off a flat third, and seven-eighths fig­ures to hit her right be­tween the eyes. Top jock Saez is stick­ing with the daugh­ter of Giacomo, who should be dead fit in her sec­ond race af­ter a break. TANYAS PRIDE is get­ting a rider switch to a hot Paco Lopez fol­low­ing a nar­row loss trav­el­ing three-quar­ters in the slop. CHOCO­LATE BOUR­BON is mov­ing from turf to dirt, and could hang on for a share af­ter flash­ing speed.

SIXTH RACE

COOL im­proved sig­nif­i­cantly sec­ond-time out, when she was a prom­i­nent sec­ond at a notch higher, from which the trailer ex­ited to top­ple $25K maid­ens. She could wire this field with Paco re­tain­ing the mount. MY SISTERSLEDGE is de­scend­ing from the maiden spe­cial weight ranks fol­low­ing a lay­off, and should be in the hunt with the ac­com­plished turf rider Rosario aboard. CAN’TCATCHTHERAXX ran well for sec­ond in a re­cent $20K turf sprint, and the third-place fin­isher came right back to grad­u­ate for $20K in the slop.

SEV­ENTH RACE

MAR­KET MONEY didn’t have the smoothest of trips at first ask­ing on the grass, but man­aged to sal­vage fourth in a 12-horse field. She sub­se­quently fin­ished a chalky sec­ond in the slop, and shouldn’t be held off much longer. BIONDETTI SONG made the board in three of her seven out­ings, and is prob­a­bly at her best go­ing fiveeighths on the lawn. DADDY’S HEIRESS could be less ag­gres­sive with blink­ers off, in her first try off the claim. Also el­i­gi­ble BALLYHOO MOON is an­other pos­si­bil­ity.

EIGHTH RACE

TRANQUILO de­feated two next-out win­ners while win­ning a re­cent $16K sprint, when he was claimed by a ca­pa­ble con­di­tioner. The son of top sire Mal­ibu Moon is go­ing long on dirt for the first time, and is bred for the task at hand. OVER LIMIT was a wide fourth be­hind the top pick in the afore­men­tioned event. He’s bred to go long on the dam’s side, and could make some noise at a square price with the bug pick­ing up the mount. COLONEL SWIN­SON came wide from left field to fin­ish a lapped-on sec­ond in his first start out­side the maiden ranks three weeks ago.

NINTH RACE

ITAL­IAN CHARM is among a host of con­tenders in this third-level al­lowance/op­tional claimer. The Gio Ponti colt is un­beaten fol­low­ing a lay­off, and has been laid up since a bit of trou­bled trip in the Nov. 24 Gio Ponti Stakes at Aqueduct. CON­QUEST TYPHOON ran well for sec­ond in a re­cent N3X/$100K op­tional claimer, in his first start since go­ing through the Keeneland Novem­ber Sale as part of the Con­quest Sta­ble dis­per­sal. The 2014 Cana­dian cham­pion male 2yo is el­i­gi­ble to im­prove in his first race as a geld­ing. AMER­I­CAN PA­TRIOT would pre­fer nine fur­longs over a mile and a six­teenth, but the G3-win­ning come­backer is hard to ig­nore with JR rid­ing for Pletcher. Off a trou­bled fourth, SA­HAM is also worth a look in his sec­ond try off the bench.

TENTH RACE

STOLEN SUN­DAY is adding blink­ers off a clos­ing sec­ond in his sec­ond start, and should ap­pre­ci­ate the slight in­crease in dis­tance from seven and a half fur­longs to a mile. The tal­ented Juarez teamed up with trainer Jane Ci­belli to win with Star­ship Thor on the grass last Sun­day. AWE­SOME REKHA was claimed for $25K while plac­ing in each of her excursions. Wolf­son has a 20% strike rate first­time off the hal­ter switch go­ing back five years ($2.46 ROI). GOLDEN nd TREA­SURY is also ex­per­i­ment­ing with blink­ers. Use her un­der­neath in ver­ti­cal bets, along with CON­QUEST RAPIDUNO.

ELEVENTH RACE

ROL AGAIN QUES­TION is drop­ping off a fade job in which he went too fast up front vs. $50K maid­ens, to the $20K level at which he ran sec­ond in his opener. His out­side draw is a neg­a­tive, but he might be good enough to over­come it. MOJO RIS­ING has got­ten closer to break­ing through with each sub­se­quent ap­pear­ance at the meet, and should hit the ticket with Paco climb­ing aboard. RE­DIS­COVER, an­other long-time maiden, has been knock­ing on the door un­der Lanerie. CHAR­LIE AT­LAS is a wild card in his first start beyond five fur­longs.

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