Honolulu Star-Advertiser - - SPORTS - By Marc Tracy and Zach Schon­brun

Ev­ery­one knows that up­sets are the best part of the NCAA Tour­na­ment. And ev­ery­one who has filled out a bracket more than once knows that if you pick too many up­sets, you will lose your pool. You have to be dis­crim­i­nat­ing, rather, and pick the right up­sets.

Here, a guide to six up­sets we think could hit. In­clud­ing, yes, a No. 16 beat­ing a No. 1. Coach

Bill Self cel­e­brated Kansas’ vic­tory over West Vir­ginia in the Big 12 ti­tle game on Satur­day. de­fen­sively. Those are hall­marks of a team that can make noise in March. The Fri­ars took topseeded Vil­lanova to over­time in the Big East cham­pi­onship game and beat Xavier twice this sea­son. Mean­while, Texas A&M will have to play at noon on the East Coast.

WHY IT MIGHT NOT: The Fri­ars are one of the least ef­fi­cient of­fen­sive teams in the field, and the Ag­gies won nine of their last 13 in the tough South­east­ern Con­fer­ence.

X FACTOR: Ky­ron Cartwright, Prov­i­dence’s se­nior point guard, hit big shot af­ter big shot in the Big East tour­na­ment. If this streaky shooter (42.8 per­cent) can get rolling again, he can carry the Fri­ars on his back.

WHY IT WILL HAP­PEN: Deep breath on this one: It would be the first time a No. 16 beat a No. 1 in what will have been 132 con­tests. First, con­sider the im­per­fec­tion of the No. 1: The Jay­hawks are ninth ac­cord­ing to, the equiv­a­lent of a No. 3 seed; they lag de­fen­sively; their av­er­age point dif­fer­en­tial was 21st, the same as fel­low Big 12 mem­ber West Vir­ginia (a No. 5 seed); and it is un­clear how avail­able in­jured big man Udoka Azubuike will be. Then there’s Penn: The Quak­ers won the Ivy League, which had a down year but is still a more for­mi­da­ble con­fer­ence than No. 16s typ­i­cally come from; are ex­pert at de­fend­ing the 3-pointer; and are coached by Steve Don­ahue, who took Cor­nell to the round of 16 sev­eral years ago.

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