To win

his Derby performance was worse than expected and without any obvious excuses.

The bottom line is that below the favorite, there is no clear second tier of horses likely to challenge. It is wide open, so shopping for some value makes sense.

For value, Blended Citizen has a win over this track in the Peter Pan. Although he is cheaper than most of these, he could get up for a piece.

For even more value, Noble Indy creeps into the computer’s top four choices, despite a miserable Derby run. His style will keep him closer to the lead than many of these and if the pace is reasonable, as expected, that could be an advantage.

Bet Justify to win. And keep a souvenir ticket for framing and keep it somewhere safe just in case he gets it done. Wheel Justify over Bravazo, Vino Rosso, Noble Indy and Blended Citizen in exacta and trifecta wagers.