‘Cone of un­cer­tainty’ to shrink in ’18

Orlando Sentinel - - NATION & WORLD / FROM PAGE ONE -

will also be­gin is­su­ing ad­vi­sories to bet­ter warn the pub­lic about on­go­ing haz­ards, such as heavy rain. Last year, the cen­ter com­piled the in­for­ma­tion as Hur­ri­cane Har­vey me­an­dered off the Texas coast and con­cluded it helped bet­ter com­mu­ni­cate the po­ten­tial dan­ger of the storm as it con­tin­ued to do dam­age, Brown ex­plained.

The changes come fol­low­ing a record-break­ing year for At­lantic hur­ri­canes — 10 formed in a row in­clud­ing Irma, the most pow­er­ful ever recorded out­side the Caribbean and Gulf of Mex­ico. Last year put the warn­ings tools to the test, Brown said, but does not nec­es­sar­ily drive this year’s changes, which were al­ready be­ing planned.

“Im­prov­ing prod­ucts is al­ways on our minds,” he said.

How­ever, the storms did con­firm some ef­forts, par­tic­u­larly a big push to im­prove warn­ings about storm surge.

“De­spite the fact three Cat 4 hur­ri­cane land­falls oc­curred in the U.S., there were no known storm surge-re­lated deaths. There may have been other fac­tors, but [storm surge warn­ings] cer­tainly played into it,” he said. “The map­ping is help­ing with bet­ter aware­ness.”


Two kayak­ers try to beat the cur­rent push­ing them down an over­flow­ing Brays Bayou on Aug. 27, 2017, in Hous­ton, Texas, dur­ing Hur­ri­cane Har­vey.

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