CEN­TRAL FLORIDA over Mem­phis by 8

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

Tigers were one of 15 teams that won games but lost the stats this past week. That makes Mike Norvell’s squad an ‘in­side-out’ road team catch­ing only a field goal, and that’s a no-no in our books. Even less in­spir­ing is Mem­phis’ dread­ful 8-29 SU mark in road open­ers, in­clud­ing 1-4 SUATS in con­fer­ence con­tests. Mean­while, Scott Frost’s Knights un­leashed some Va­lyr­ian Steel on FIU in Butch Davis’ be­head­ing de­but last Thurs­day, win­ning 61-17. Our data­base warns us that play­ing im­me­di­ately after such a high-scor­ing out­burst doesn’t al­ways work out – but that’s not the case tonight in Or­lando. Home teams that score 60 or more points in sea­son open­ers are a su­per sharp 38-20 ATS, in­clud­ing 6-2 SUATS in con­fer­ence bat­tles. With just a 1-4 ATS mark in their last five tries as road dogs, the Tigers need to play much bet­ter than last week’s 8-point win as 29-point chalk be­fore we hop back on them this sea­son. By the end of this one, we ex­pect to see the vis­i­tors from Grace­land ‘bend­ing the knee’.

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