CENTRAL FLORIDA over Memphis by 8
Tigers were one of 15 teams that won games but lost the stats this past week. That makes Mike Norvell’s squad an ‘inside-out’ road team catching only a field goal, and that’s a no-no in our books. Even less inspiring is Memphis’ dreadful 8-29 SU mark in road openers, including 1-4 SUATS in conference contests. Meanwhile, Scott Frost’s Knights unleashed some Valyrian Steel on FIU in Butch Davis’ beheading debut last Thursday, winning 61-17. Our database warns us that playing immediately after such a high-scoring outburst doesn’t always work out – but that’s not the case tonight in Orlando. Home teams that score 60 or more points in season openers are a super sharp 38-20 ATS, including 6-2 SUATS in conference battles. With just a 1-4 ATS mark in their last five tries as road dogs, the Tigers need to play much better than last week’s 8-point win as 29-point chalk before we hop back on them this season. By the end of this one, we expect to see the visitors from Graceland ‘bending the knee’.