MICHIGAN over Air Force by 16
Michigan’s season-opening blowout of Florida ensured that the Wolverines would carry a heavy price tag for the rest of the year. It happened last week when the Maize-and-Blue laid 32.5 points to Cincinnati in their home opener at the Big House, and the hosts never came close to covering. And this looks like more of the same. Looks, we respect the tremendous talent that now plays for Michigan and we realize head coach Jim Harbaugh has become almost larger than life in Ann Arbor. But Air Force typically gives fits to teams like UM that don’t see the Falcons’ peculiar run-option offense but once every few years. Hey, we love disciplined, military dogs taking 20 or more points (see Army at Ohio State in same role later today), and our well-oiled machine concurs: CFB teams in Game Two, off a win and playing with a week of rest, are a long-term 132-95-4 ATS, including
if they allowed 3 or fewer points in the win. The Flyboys have cashed four straight as road dogs of more than 17 points and the Wolverines just happen to have their Big Ten opener against Purdue on deck (0-7 ATS before battling the Boilermakers). Harbaugh’s bunch is also a mediocre 2-5 ATS in their last seven against the Mountain West, plus only 3-7 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games. Air Force carpetbombed VMI last week, 62-0, and arrive with a 9-3 ATS record after scoring 45 or more points. The cherry on top? The Falcons are the stars of this week’s on page 2.