Va Tech over EAST CAROLINA by 17

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

It’s games like th­ese where it helps to have a lit­tle im­pluse con­trol. Just check out some of th­ese numbers we pulled up on be­half of the Pi­rates: 4-1 ATS the last five se­ries meet­ings, as home dogs of 10 or more points, and 5-1 ATS with non-con­fer­ence re­venge. Our all-know­ing data­base also re­minds us: 0-2 home dogs in Game Three of the sea­son are 102-71-5 ATS since 1980, in­clud­ing 78-47-4 ATS in non-con­fer­ence clashes. Mean­while, the fa­vored Hok­ies find them­selves in sev­eral bad roles,

as fa­vorites of 3 or more points ver­sus a foe with re­venge off a loss (Tech beat the Pi­rates, 54-17 last year) and as road chalk of more than 3 points. Hey, a pig wear­ing lip­stick could win a beauty con­test if the other en­trants were that ugly. There’s just one prob­lem – and it’s a big one. The East Carolina that com­piled the above stats is nowhere to be seen in 2017. This year’s Bucs have been smacked from pil­lar to post their first two games this sea­son, al­low­ing more than 600 yards in sea­son-open­ing losses to James Madi­son and West Vir­ginia. We don’t play de­fen­sively-chal­lenged un­der­dogs, no mat­ter how en­tic­ing. See what we mean about im­pulse con­trol?

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