BEST BET Penn St over NORTHWESTERN by 3
Not only do the Nittany Lions find themselves in the wrong paragraph in this week’s SMART BOX, they’re also not a fan ‘favorite’ of this week’s MIDWEEK ALERT as their yards (370) did not match their point production (see the RES category – a formulated Re-Score of the game based strictly on actual yardage gained and allowed) for the fourth time this season in their 31-point win over Indiana last Saturday. They did convert two early turnovers into TDs but that might not be the case this week as the Lions are 0-6 ATS away with conference revenge. In fact, the Wildcats have upset the Lions in each of the past two meetings, so they will not be intimated by these ‘5-0 Fat Cats.’ How could they be with the Square and Alert joining forces and coming to their aid – not to mention our database which notes Northwestern’s 4-1 ATS Game Five log and 7-3 ATS mark after meeting Wisky, as well as Penn State’s 3-10 ATS record as favorites before dancing with the Wolverines. Even our NCAA Coaches League wants a piece of the action, noting Wildcats’ HC Pat Fitzgerald is 14-4 ATS as a dog of more than 7 points off a loss while saving the best for last in the form of THE CLINCHER: PSU is 3-10-2 ATS away under James Franklin, including 1-7 SU and 0-7-1 AT against foes that allow less than 26 PPG.