Duke over VIRGINIA by 7
According to Webster ( not the one played by Emmanuel Lewis), overreaction means to respond to something with an emotion that is too strong or an action that is unnecessary. Playbook’s definition of the word (which can be of Greek origin to the casual observer) is similar but involves money. Let’s put it in a sentence. “Duke’s 25-point loss to Miami coupled with Virginia’s surprise win at Boise State has created a severe overreaction, causing the opening line to move a full five points” (Duke opened as a 2.5 point favorite and is now is a 2.5-point pup). Sure, the Wahoos are No. 1 in the land in red-zone offense and picked up their first win west of the Mississippi River with its victory at Boise State two Fridays ago but the Broncos are playing more on reputation these days, having dropped four of their last six dating back to last season. And let’s not forget: the 14th-rated Duke defense has held two foes to season-low yardage while limiting opposing offenses to 80 rushing yards per game on 2.7 yards per carry. The Devils are also 15-7-1 ATS in this series but more importantly now 5-0-1 ATS the last six as dogs. That makes this a must take in this False Favorite special.