Duke over VIR­GINIA by 7

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

Ac­cord­ing to Web­ster ( not the one played by Emmanuel Lewis), over­re­ac­tion means to re­spond to some­thing with an emo­tion that is too strong or an ac­tion that is un­nec­es­sary. Play­book’s def­i­ni­tion of the word (which can be of Greek ori­gin to the ca­sual ob­server) is sim­i­lar but in­volves money. Let’s put it in a sen­tence. “Duke’s 25-point loss to Mi­ami cou­pled with Vir­ginia’s sur­prise win at Boise State has cre­ated a se­vere over­re­ac­tion, caus­ing the open­ing line to move a full five points” (Duke opened as a 2.5 point fa­vorite and is now is a 2.5-point pup). Sure, the Wa­hoos are No. 1 in the land in red-zone of­fense and picked up their first win west of the Mis­sis­sippi River with its vic­tory at Boise State two Fri­days ago but the Bron­cos are play­ing more on rep­u­ta­tion these days, hav­ing dropped four of their last six dat­ing back to last sea­son. And let’s not for­get: the 14th-rated Duke de­fense has held two foes to sea­son-low yardage while lim­it­ing op­pos­ing of­fenses to 80 rush­ing yards per game on 2.7 yards per carry. The Devils are also 15-7-1 ATS in this se­ries but more im­por­tantly now 5-0-1 ATS the last six as dogs. That makes this a must take in this False Fa­vorite special.

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