PURDUE over Minnesota by 8
Bad news for Minny here as the Golden Gophers are just 1-8 SU in Big Ten games after losing SU as favorites of more than 7 points in their previous contest (lost, 31-24, as 13.5-point chalk at home to Maryland last week). Goldy is also just 5-22 SU on the road versus .500 or greater Big Ten foes. In addition, the Boilermakers have dominated this series in recent years when favored, going 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 games as chalk. Be sure and check the status of Purdue QB David Blough, who suffered a slight shoulder strain in the game with Michigan two weeks ago (we’re guessing he plays). Expect the Boilermakers to dedicate this contest to Joe Tiller, the school’s winningest coach, who passed away at the age of 74 last Saturday. In 12 years at Purdue, Tiller made 10 bowl trips and coached five teams that finished in the top 25, including the 2000 squad that won a Big Ten title in Drew Brees’ senior season. We don’t like the line movement (Gophers opened as 1.5-point favorites) or coughing up 100 yards in defense but the feeling here is emotions will be high in West Lafayette.