TCU over West Vir­ginia by 18

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

De­spite a 3-0 start, Gary Pat­ter­son’s Horned Frogs weren’t get­ting much love from the polls – un­til last Satur­day’s sur­pris­ingly easy win over Ok­la­homas State vaulted TCU into the No. 8 spot this week (AP). Like Don Hen­ley sang, “Ev­ery­thing is dif­fer­ent now” – and Pat­ter­son is hell bent on aveng­ing last sea­son’s 4-8 ef­fort, es­pe­cially against foes that pounded nails into their cof­fin (lost to WVU, 34-10). In fact, Boss Frog owns a mon­ey­mak­ing 20-7 ATS mark with con­fer­ence re­venge ver­sus win­ning foes, in­clud­ing 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS as a fa­vorite of more than 6 points. West Vir­ginia has looked equal to or bet­ter than its cur­rent No. 23 rank­ing, bounc­ing back from a hard-fought, sea­son-open­ing loss to Vir­ginia Tech to win three straight games by an av­er­age of 33.7 PPG. In truth, how­ever, that trio of wins came against East Carolina, FCS foe Delaware State and Kansas, teams that have com­bined for a 2-10 SU and 3-6 ATS start in 2017. Fur­ther investigation turns up WVU’s aw­ful 1-8 ATS per­for­mance with rest when tak­ing on a Big 12 foe and 1-4 ATS mark as a dou­ble-digit con­fer­ence un­der­dog. Mean­while, the horned ones make the most of a week off, log­ging an out­stand­ing 13-2 ATS record when rested and ready. Even more dis­turb­ing for the Hill­bil­lies is a de­fense that’s get­ting scorched for 452 YPG – 128 more than TCU. The al­ways in­for­ma­tive MID­WEEK ALERT seals the deal, not­ing that the Frog­gies have held all four foes to sea­son-low yards this year. Yes, they are for real… lay it if you play it.

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