HOUSTON over Smu by 11
Cougars return to the Rocket City off a lethargic win-no-cover at Temple – which was preceded by SU home loss (as 7-point chalk) to Texas Tech. As a result, new head coach Applewhite is feelng some ‘major’ heat in Houston these days – and we’re not referring to the temperature (apparently a 3-1 start isn’t good enough for fans spoiled by previous head coach Tom Herman’s 22-5 run with the Cougars). Former Clemson OC Chad Morris has got his Mustangs on the move this year, proving that SMU is already one of the season’s most improved teams (offense +73 YPG, defense +19 YPG and a 48.5 PPG scoring output – nearly double that of Houston). Normally we’d jump on the Ponies with both boots, but last year’s shocking upset of the Cougs (38-16 win as 23-point home dogs) makes today’s line a value-plus play for avenging Houston. With the Cougars now 4-2 SUATS in this series when playing off a pair of ATS losses, we’ll lay the short number and look for the rocket men to bring SMU back down to earth.