Ohio U over BOWLING GREEN by 12
Like the RedHawks, the Bobcats also fell as double-digit home chalk on the first Saturday in October when they were surprised by Central Michigan, 26-23, after allowing the Chips to hold onto the ball for the final five minutes of the game. And while our database suggests steering clear of HC Frank Solich’s dejected squad today in Bowling Green as they arrive with a 5-9 ATS mark following a SU favorite loss, our points out the Bobbies are a positive +1.5 net YPR this season. Meanwhile the BeeGees check in at a negative 1.1 net YPR and rank second-worst in the land in first-down defense. The ‘mission dog’ Falcons (one losing season that was preceded by three or more winning campaigns) would normally head our play list in today’s double-digit home dog Homecoming role but last week’s win over Miami Ohio – a game in which they were outstatted by over 100 yards – puts them on Ohio’s radar. And that puts us riding shotgun with Solich despite the fact that the hosts lead the nation in most fumbles recovered (11) this season (but then again that’s what happens when you rank 115th in time of possession). Lay it or leave it.