Ohio U over BOWL­ING GREEN by 12

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

Like the RedHawks, the Bob­cats also fell as dou­ble-digit home chalk on the first Saturday in Oc­to­ber when they were sur­prised by Cen­tral Michi­gan, 26-23, after al­low­ing the Chips to hold onto the ball for the fi­nal five min­utes of the game. And while our data­base sug­gests steer­ing clear of HC Frank Solich’s de­jected squad to­day in Bowl­ing Green as they ar­rive with a 5-9 ATS mark fol­low­ing a SU fa­vorite loss, our points out the Bob­bies are a pos­i­tive +1.5 net YPR this sea­son. Mean­while the BeeGees check in at a neg­a­tive 1.1 net YPR and rank sec­ond-worst in the land in first-down de­fense. The ‘mis­sion dog’ Fal­cons (one los­ing sea­son that was pre­ceded by three or more win­ning cam­paigns) would nor­mally head our play list in to­day’s dou­ble-digit home dog Home­com­ing role but last week’s win over Mi­ami Ohio – a game in which they were out­stat­ted by over 100 yards – puts them on Ohio’s radar. And that puts us rid­ing shot­gun with Solich de­spite the fact that the hosts lead the na­tion in most fum­bles re­cov­ered (11) this sea­son (but then again that’s what hap­pens when you rank 115th in time of pos­ses­sion). Lay it or leave it.

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