BEST BET Navy over MEM­PHIS by 10

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 5 Octoberama Lts Football Special! -

The Mid­dies blew an 18-point half­time lead over Air Force – and the cover – when they had to come from be­hind to beat the Fal­cons, 4845. Navy was out­gained, 621-557, in last week’s 15-rounder against the Force but the swab­bies still man­aged to re­main un­beaten. As a re­sult, they be­come a (see last week’s this af­ter­noon at the Lib­erty Bowl – but in a good way as ‘dogs’. Now 3-0 in the AAC, the Mid­dies are a leg-and-a-half up on the 1-1 Tigers in the West Di­vi­sion (also cracked this week’s AP Top 25). Mean­while, Mem­phis is off to a stum­bling 2-3 start in HC Mike Norvel’s sec­ond cam­paign and the Tigers’ 511-yard de­fense is 95 YPG worse than the Mid­dies. That’s a big deal as the in­vad­ing Mid­ship­men sail into port boast­ing the na­tion’s top rush­ing of­fense. Con­fer­ence com­pe­ti­tion has not over­pow­ered Navy, ei­ther, as the Mids are an im­pres­sive 17-3 SU and 12-6-2 ATS in the AAC since join­ing the loop in 2015. Our data­base re­minds us that Mem­phis is in its last 20 games as sin­gle-digit fa­vorites ver­sus foes off an ATS loss. In ad­di­tion, the Tigers have out­stat­ted two of their four op­po­nents this sea­son – South­ern Illi­nois and UConn – while be­ing out­gained against UCLA (al­lowed Bru­ins sea­son-high 633 yards) and UL Mon­roe. If you need more, there’s al­ways

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