Florida St over BOS­TON COL­LEGE by 8

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

We could tell you that the last time the Semi­noles were in dan­ger of los­ing five games in a sea­son was in 2011 – Jimbo Fisher’s se­cond year on the job. The last time they did drop that many in a cam­paign (2009), Bobby Bow­den was still roam­ing the Doak Camp­bell side­lines. How­ever, de­spite only 17 set­backs in 95 games in Tally lead­ing up to this sea­son, Fisher may be in the same boat if his Semi­noles can’t run the ta­ble (and a trip to Clem­son in early Novem­ber says they can’t). In fact, a few more ‘L’s may have him join­ing Ol’ Bobby in a cam­pus Cracker Bar­rel as Florida State is just 14-10 SU and 12-11-1 ATS in its last 24 games against FBS op­po­si­tion, in­clud­ing 9-8 SU and 8-8-1 ATS against those with a win­ning record. Ac­tu­ally a bet­ter in­di­ca­tor of how fast the ‘Noles have fallen is today’s line. This 3-point spread is the cheap­est num­ber in this se­ries since the Semi­noles took 7 in 2007, with the av­er­age line -19 in the Jimbo era. A red zone de­fense that ranks No. 121 in the land has been one of FSU’s many Achilles heels this sea­son, but we still can’t look past a lop­sided his­tory that finds the ‘Noles 7-0 SU in this se­ries un­der Fisher – not at this num­ber. Nor can we over­look FSU’s 5-0 SUATS week­day record or BC’s 0-5 ATS mark dur­ing week­day play, 0-4 ATS log be­fore fac­ing NC State and 1-5 ATS record in Game Nine. Thus, with all the num­bers in the Semi­noles’ fa­vor, and BC ar­riv­ing off a pair of SU un­der­dog wins, we’ll side with the value and steep his­tory tonight in Chest­nut Hill.

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