NOTRE DAME over NC State by 1

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

Could this turn out to be The Mother Of All Let­downs for the Fight­ing Ir­ish? Af­ter mak­ing highly-touted USC quar­ter­back Sam Darnold look more like Tom Arnold – and shut­ting down the Tro­jans’ run game (76 yards) in a 49-14 rout – Notre Dame rose to the AP’s No. 9 spot while ef­fec­tively slam­ming the door on USC’s chances of reach­ing the CFB Play­offs. The prob­lem for the Dame today is a 3-9 ATS fail­ure af­ter beat­ing South­ern Cal, in­clud­ing 0-6 ATS fol­low­ing a win of more than 8 points (not to men­tion a 2-8 ATS mark in the se­cond of three straight home games). Mean­while, NC State has moved up the rank­ings as qui­etly as any team in re­cent mem­ory, cur­rently No. 14 in the AP Top 25, and this is not a team Brian Kelly’s bunch can go to sleep on. State owns a de­cent enough 5-2 ATS record as a non-con­fer­ence road dog of fewer than 14 points but it’s the Pack’s ex­tra week of prep time that bodes well for the vis­i­tors here: head coach Dave Do­eren’s teams are 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS with rest, in­clud­ing 7-0 ATS against op­po­nents off a win. Sure, NC State has a huge bat­tle with Clem­son on deck but that’s never been a prob­lem in the past as the Wolf­pack have cashed in four straight con­tests be­fore tan­gling with the Tigers. Notre Dame’s cur­rent 5-0 SUATS roll, cou­pled with its romp over USC, will make it tough for some to pull the trig­ger with the un­der­dogs. Not us. We see a value-packed con­test where NC State can take it to the wire… es­pe­cially with Wolf­pack QB Ryan Fin­ley at­tempt­ing 313 passes this year – with­out an in­ter­cep­tion. Ahh-ooh!

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