Texas over BAYLOR by 6
Another disappointment for Texas HC Tom Herman and his Longhorns last week. After taking Oklahoma State into OT and falling behind 13-10, Texas QB Sam Ehlinger gift-wrapped the outcome by tossing a concussed end-zone interception on 3rd down instead of just chucking the ball out of bounds and settling for a tying field goal attempt. Sheesh! Still, UT continues to display the benefits of Herman’s presence in Austin: the Longhorns are the top ranked team in the nation in net punting this season, as well as tied for the top spot in Defensive TDs allowed. Hard to take Baylor seriously after season-opening losses to Liberty and UTSA, but the truth is the Bears are steadily improving under the leadership of 1st-year head coach Matt Rhule. Toss out Baylor’s 59-16 blowout loss to Oklahoma State and Rhule’s squad has lost its other three conference contests by a total of just 23 points. And while BU’s 7-3 ATS series edge was compiled during the Art Briles era, Rhule has covered both chances as a home dog in 2017 (Baylor now 6-0 ATS in last six as a home dog). UT is off a pair of losses and at 3-4 is in danger of losing out on bowl eligibility, but with the Horns’ next biggest game of the season on deck (triple revenger with TCU), we’re on the take here at high noon with a Baylor squad that outyarded both Kansas State and West Virginia in two of their last three games.