W KEN­TUCKY over Mid­dle Ten­nessee by 4

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

Both the Blue Raiders and Hill­top­pers own iden­ti­cal records (5-5, 3-3) but the feel­ing here is that MTSU is still be­ing priced on rep­u­ta­tion only while the ad­just­ment has fi­nally been made to 2017’s money-burn­ing ver­sion of Western Ken­tucky (2-7 ATS) – a far cry from re­cent pow­er­house edi­tions. And with the Raiders host­ing Old Do­min­ion in next week’s reg­u­lar sea­son fi­nale, and WKU trav­el­ing to FIU, it looks as if the vis­i­tors have the easier path to an all-im­por­tant 6th win if needed. We also don’t like the fact that the Blue Man Group – 2-point home pups in this matchup last year and 7-point dogs on this field two sea­sons ago – are on the CUSA high­way of late while the ‘Top­pers are in the fi­nal two games of the reg­u­lar sea­son over the last eight years, as well as 6-2 SUATS in LHG’s. We re­al­ize this isn’t the same Western Ken­tucky team that has av­er­aged 50 PPG in this matchup since 2014 but the idea of them show­ing up as home dogs makes this a False Fa­vorite Special. A must take.

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