IOWA over Pur­due by 4

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

Talk about a re­turn to re­al­ity! One week af­ter their wa­ter­shed vic­tory over Ohio State, the Hawkeyes man­aged just 66 to­tal yards of of­fense and five first downs in last week’s wipeout at Wis­con­sin. We can’t bold and un­der­line Pur­due, though, as Kirk Fer­entz is gen­er­ally at his best at home in games off a SUATS loss (23-6-2 ATS), de­spite own­ing a 3-13-1 ATS mark of late as con­fer­ence home fa­vorites of more than 7 points. Mean­while, Pur­due is 8-3 ATS as a Big Ten road dog of less than 14 points and the vis­i­tor has cov­ered the last seven meet­ings in this se­ries. Un­for­tu­nately, a once-promis­ing sea­son is slip­ping away for head coach Jeff Brohm as his squad has dropped four of its last five games, and the 4-6 Boil­er­mak­ers need a win here and next week at home against In­di­ana to earn a pass to the bowls. It will be tough with­out start­ing QB David Blough, but his re­place­ment, Eli­jah Sin­de­lar, will hope to build on a de­cent sec­ond half against North­west­ern last Satur­day. Ex­pect Brohm to pull out all the stops today.

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