IOWA over Purdue by 4
Talk about a return to reality! One week after their watershed victory over Ohio State, the Hawkeyes managed just 66 total yards of offense and five first downs in last week’s wipeout at Wisconsin. We can’t bold and underline Purdue, though, as Kirk Ferentz is generally at his best at home in games off a SUATS loss (23-6-2 ATS), despite owning a 3-13-1 ATS mark of late as conference home favorites of more than 7 points. Meanwhile, Purdue is 8-3 ATS as a Big Ten road dog of less than 14 points and the visitor has covered the last seven meetings in this series. Unfortunately, a once-promising season is slipping away for head coach Jeff Brohm as his squad has dropped four of its last five games, and the 4-6 Boilermakers need a win here and next week at home against Indiana to earn a pass to the bowls. It will be tough without starting QB David Blough, but his replacement, Elijah Sindelar, will hope to build on a decent second half against Northwestern last Saturday. Expect Brohm to pull out all the stops today.