Iowa St over BAY­LOR by 6

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - Miami Florida Over -

The Cy­clones have lost four straight to the Bears as un­der­dogs all four times by an av­er­age of 26 points, and now find them­selves as a near dou­ble-digit fa­vorite. Plus, they have not fared well as a con­fer­ence road fa­vorite of more than 7 points, go­ing just 2-8 ATS. It was a cruel non-cover by the Cy­clones last week, who lost by 7 points to Oklahoma State as 6.5-point pups af­ter lead­ing late in the game. It would be no sur­prise to see them come up a tad flat today, es­pe­cially with the in­jury to QB Kyle Kempt, who suf­fered an arm in­jury last week and ap­par­ently will not start, in­stead be­ing re­placed by red­shirt fresh­man Zeb Noland, who played the sec­ond half against the Cow­boys. Mean­while, Bay­lor slides deeper into the abyss, drop­ping to 1-9 with a 38-24 loss to Texas Tech, but did out­gain the Red Raiders, 522-337. The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight ap­pear­ances as home dogs, but that’s not nearly enough to keep us from watch­ing this one from a safe dis­tance.

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