AUBURN over UL-Mon­roe by 28

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - Miami Florida Over -

How im­pres­sive was Auburn last week? They con­trolled the line of scrim­mage on both sides of the ball against pre­vi­ously un­beaten Georgia in 40-17 rout that wasn’t as close as the fi­nal score might sug­gest. In fact, the game was such a colos­sal fail­ure for the Dawgs that Georgia fans are pray­ing for Auburn to beat Alabama next week so the Bull­dogs can get an­other shot at the Tigers in the SEC Cham­pi­onship game. The Georgia folks were par­tic­u­larly in­censed over Auburn HC Gus Malzahn’s de­ci­sion to chal­lenge the spot of the ball for a Georgia first down (he lost) with the game wind­ing down and his team up by 23 points. Re­gard­less, those of you who are as­sum­ing that Auburn will sim­ply show up for today’s high noon start and beat ULM by 70 points should re­al­ize two things: (1) the Tigers are smack in the mid­dle of the ul­ti­mate con­fer­ence sand­wich sit­u­a­tion fac­ing a non-con­fer­ence foe and (2) with the top team in the land set to visit Jor­dan-Hare Sta­dium to close out the reg­u­lar sea­son, Malzahn will keep his team as vanilla as pos­si­ble be­fore next week’s show­down. Still, the tal­ent gap be­tween these two is huge and Auburn can win eas­ily just by con­tin­u­ally hand­ing off to RB Ker­ryon John­son, a one-man wrecking crew. Even so, the ATS ar­chives give the vis­i­tors a shot at ring­ing the regis­ter here as the Warhawks have gone 4-1 ATS as non-con­fer­ence dogs of 28 or more points, plus they’re 10-3 ATS ver­sus SEC foes when play­ing off win of 7 or more points. With Aub­bie cur­rently just 3-8 ATS as non-SEC chalk of 28 or more, we’re on the dog in this mother of all let­downs. Get out the big clothes­pin – you’re go­ing to need it.

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