KANSAS CITY over Tennessee by 11
Call this a bold and gutsy judgment considering the featherheads have performed more like feather dusters than head scalpers during the postseason, sporting a 4-12 SU and 2-14 ATS record in their last 16 playoff games. Toss in Andy Reid’s 9-16 ATS career mark in games against AFC South foes (1-10 ATS at home) and a 1-5 SUATS record in his last 6 postseason contests, along with QB Alex Smith’s soft 2-4 SUATS dossier in the playoffs, and it certainly makes the Chiefs a cautionary call, at best. The well-oiled machine quickly comes to KC’s rescue, though, noting that home teams in the playoffs that lost straight up as a playoff favorite the previous season are 70-9 SU and 53-23-3 ATS in the following
SATURDAY - JANUARY 6 4:35 PM ET - ESPN/ABC
year of atonement. And to Kansas City’s credit, the Chiefs have gone 4-0 SUATS and ITS to close out the season. Meanwhile, Tennessee is one of 8 new teams to make the playoffs this season – 6 of who are playing this weekend. The Titans are 2-8-1 ATS in the playoffs with a .700 or less win percentage, while Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota is 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS away when coming off a win in his NFL career. It’s also been a tale of two halves for these two squads as the Chiefs have managed to outgain foes +35 YPG during the second half of the season while the Titans have been outyarded -15 YPG over the same span. Despite the putrid playoff history for both, we’ll follow current form in this sacramental.
OPENING LINES: KANSAS CITY -7.5 / 45