Tcu over SMU by 20

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - Page 4 1.800.playbook -

After last week’s dread­ful de­but at SMU for new head coach Sonny Dykes, tonight’s game could quite pos­si­bly post the low­est viewer rat­ings since FOX tried to re­boot The Ex­or­cist as a se­ries (who bankrolled that idea?). It was bad enough that Dykes’ air-raid of­fense never got out of the shel­ter – fall­ing be­hind 36-0 be­fore scor­ing all 23 of its points in the clos­ing 8-plus min­utes of the rout – but it was the lat­est ver­sion of the hor­ri­ble de­fenses that have plagued Dykes through­out this coach­ing ca­reer that had heads shak­ing on the Mus­tangs side­line. This year’s ‘stop-unit’ gave up 46 points, al­lowed North Texas QB Ma­son Fine to con­nect on 40-of-50 passes for 444 yards and 3 TDs, and trailed in the first down bat­tle, 27-1 (yes, that’s ONE) be­fore the SMU of­fense briefly came to life. Yikes, in­deed. While Sonny Boy ap­pears to be out­classed in this coach­ing matchup with his 1-6 ATS mark as a dou­ble-digit home dog, TCU’s Gary Pat­ter­son owns a sur­pris­ingly weak 12-18 ATS record as dou­ble-digit road chalk (9-16 ATS lay­ing -14 or more). And though TCU has won 16 out of the last 18 meet­ings in this al­pha­bet ri­valry since 1999, the Horned Frogs have slipped to just 5-10 ATS since 2002. Our data­base tells us SMU’s Dykes in­her­its a pro­gram that’s gone 0-4 SU on this field as a se­ries host of late, not to men­tion a dis­turb­ing 4-11 ATS run in home open­ers. But there are two BIG rea­sons we’re not get­ting in­volved in what looks to be a Horned Frog run­away here. One, TCU has Ohio State on deck and we know HC Pat­ter­son will not put his com­plete play­book on dis­play to the Buck­eyes tonight, no mat­ter how tempt­ing. And Two, this is above all a ri­valry game be­tween Forth Worth and Dal­las, and hate­fests like this usu­ally bring out the best in un­der­dogs. Even though it looks like Dykes will need Fa­ther Mer­rin and ev­ery scrip­ture-spout­ing cleric in Texas to keep his head from spin­ning right off his body, we’re not lay­ing this kind of wood with the Buck­eyes lurk­ing near the burn pile. Nei­ther should you. Satur­day, Septem­ber 8

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