BEST BET ALABAMA over Arkansas St by 21

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - Page 8 1.800.playbook -

WOW! Alabama held Louisville to their low­est of­fen­sive out­put in 41 games, lim­it­ing the Car­di­nals to 268 yards en route to a lop­sided 51-14 vic­tory. De­spite be­rat­ing ABC’s on-air tal­ent Maria Tay­lor in the post-game in­ter­view, HC Sa­ban had kind words for QB Tua Tago­v­ailoa in the locker room and has since named him the starter for Week 2. Still, with the Red Wolves on deck, if you are won­der­ing if the Tide ever seems to cover th­ese huge spreads, the well-oiled ma­chine is happy to con­firm your sus­pi­cions with this nugget: the Nick­ta­tor is on a skid as non-con­fer­ence home chalk of 28 or more points. Alabama is also ver­sus the num­ber at home com­ing off a non-con­fer­ence game and when fa­vored by more than 20 points be­fore play­ing Ole Miss. Mean­while, Arkansas State HC Blake An­der­son got a nice per­for­mance from his sig­nal­caller in their opener as for­mer Ok­la­homa QB Jus­tice Hansen tossed 6 TDs for 423 yards in last week’s 48-21 win over SE Mis­souri. In ad­di­tion, Ark State has re­al­ized solid suc­cess as a heavy un­der­dog, go­ing 6-2 ver­sus the spread when spot­ted 24 or more points, and has cov­ered 3 of their last 4 con­tests against SEC op­po­si­tion. Our

on page 3 re­minds us that this is too many points to lay to a team that has lost only ONE of its last 159 games by more than 37 points. We ce­ment it with

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