Miami Ohio over Cincinnati by 4
With today’s battle for western Ohio supremacy being played at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, it seems almost sacreligious to go against the Bearcats. Especially after HC Luke Fickell’s hard recruiting paid major dividends in Cincy’s 27-17 shocker over UCLA last week. Today, though, they take on an angry host that lost at home last week as small home chalk to Marshall, even though the RedHawks won the stats. Miami Ohio also lost to these Bearcats at home last year as 3.5-point chalk, 21-17, making it 12 consecutive defeats in a row in this series (gulp). Actually, we were surprised to see the RedHawks open up as the favorite here but there is a reason why: according to the well-oiled machine, college football teams in Game Two like Cincinnati, off a SU underdog win as +7 or more, are just when facing a non-conference foe that is seeking revenge (now aren’t you glad you read this far?). A final bit of good news for Miami is its 14-7 ATS record in games following a SU favorite loss, and a 4-1 ATS mark the last five tiffs in this series. After four losing seasons at the helm in Oxford, HC Chuck Martin knows another bad start this year could be his last.