IN­DI­ANA over Ball St by 10

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If you’re con­sid­er­ing a rea­son­able money line play to­day, In­di­ana’s 25-5 SU suc­cess in its last 30 games against the MAC should spark some in­ter­est. But Ball State holds all the ATS cards in to­day’s lat­est meet­ing be­tween two in-state ri­vals. Look, we’re not sure if Michi­gan just wore out Notre Dame the week be­fore the Ir­ish took on the Car­di­nals or if this year’s BSU team is a ma­jor step up from last year’s 2-10 fail­ure. The point is Ball State re­fused to pack it in ver­sus the Dame, fall­ing be­hind 24-6 be­fore win­ning the fourth quar­ter, 10-0, and their 34-point edge over the Domers was never se­ri­ously threat­ened. From our his­tory book, teams that lose but cover against the Ir­ish are a lofty 14-7 ATS the fol­low­ing game the last 10 years, in­clud­ing when fac­ing non-con­fer­ence foes. That sounds es­pe­cially en­tic­ing when we see BSU’s out­stand­ing

record ver­sus Big Ten op­po­nents ( ver­sus foe off win), in­clud­ing in this se­ries. This will also be a fa­mil­iar road trip for the Car­di­nals as they’ve played this game in ei­ther Bloom­ing­ton or at Lu­cas Oil Sta­dium for the last 10-plus years. With the Hoosiers off a pair of wins but ATS losses in each of their first two out­ings, our ini­tial re­ac­tion was to back them – but we can’t do it. Not with a ma­jor re­venger against Michi­gan State on deck. And not with IU just 8-22-1 ATS in games be­fore the Spar­tans, in­clud­ing in non-con­fer­ence tiffs. Cards go for the puppy chow.

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