Tale of the Elec­to­rial Col­lege tape to date

The Daily Herald - - NATION & WORLD -

WASH­ING­TON — Hillary Clin­ton con­tin­ues to hold a sig­nif­i­cant bat­tle­ground edge over Don­ald Trump, run­ning ahead in enough states to give her an Elec­toral Col­lege tie. But some pref­er­ence polls re­leased this past week, in­clud­ing in one state where Clin­ton has pre­vi­ously held an ad­van­tage, sug­gest the race may be tight­en­ing.

That’s ac­cord­ing to an As­so­ci­ated Press anal­y­sis of the map as it stands to­day. The anal­y­sis con­sid­ers pref­er­ence polling, re­cent elec­toral his­tory, de­mo­graphic trends and cam­paign pri­or­i­ties such as ad­ver­tis­ing, travel and on-the-ground staff.

Two new sur­veys re­leased in Wis­con­sin, by Mar­quette and Mon­mouth uni­ver­si­ties, show Trump much closer to Clin­ton than in pre­vi­ous polls in the state. The dif­fer­ence be­tween the two can­di­dates in the new polls is near or within the sur­veys’ mar­gins of er­ror. Still, Clin­ton’s ad­van­tage is a strong one. If she holds Trump off in Wis­con­sin and defends her re­main­ing leads, a vic­tory in any of the sev­eral states now con­sid­ered toss-ups would be enough for a Novem­ber vic­tory. A look at the race, state by state: Solid Demo­cratic: Cal­i­for­nia, Con­necti­cut, Delaware, Dis­trict of Columbia, Hawaii, Illi­nois, Maine, Maine 2nd Dis­trict, Mas­sachusetts, Mary­land, Min­nesota, New Jersey, New Mex­ico, New York, Ore­gon, Rhode Is­land, Ver­mont, Wash­ing­ton.

Leans Demo­cratic: Colorado, Michi­gan, Penn­syl­va­nia, Vir­ginia, Wis­con­sin.

Toss-up: Florida, Iowa, Ne­vada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio.

Leans Repub­li­can: Ari­zona, Geor­gia, Mis­souri, Ne­braska 2nd Dis­trict, Utah.

Solid Repub­li­can: Alabama, Alaska, Ar­kan­sas, Idaho, In­di­ana, Kansas, Ken­tucky, Louisiana, Mis­sis­sippi, Montana, Ne­braska, North Dakota, Ok­la­homa, South Carolina, South Dakota, Ten­nessee, Texas, West Vir­ginia, Wy­oming.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from USA

© PressReader. All rights reserved.